Tenebrus7 has made $149K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,362 all time by profit, with 82M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$149K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 82M
- Portfolio value
- $305K
- Profit this month
- +$11K
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 70%
How Tenebrus7 has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 138 (70%) ended in profit and 59 in a loss, for −$11K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 66%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $82K together, the biggest is “Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?” (No) at 12% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No · entry 0.5% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$58K
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$47K
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$25K
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$20K
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$20K
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jun 24, 2026
+$18K
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Mar 30, 2026
+$18K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Sep 5, 2026
+$18K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 5% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$17K
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jan 24, 2026
+$17K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$53K
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 96% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$47K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 84% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$38K
Israel military action against Iran before July?
No · entry 70% · closed Jun 13, 2025
−$20K
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
No · entry 80% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$19K
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
No · entry >99% · closed Feb 9, 2026
−$19K
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
No · entry 95% · closed Jul 6, 2026
−$17K
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Jan 17, 2026
−$16K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
No · entry >99% · closed May 9, 2026
−$15K
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
No · entry 95% · closed Jan 24, 2026
−$14K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No · entry 79%, now 71% · ends Jan 1, 2029
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,624
−$1,102 P&L
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes · entry 76%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,922
−$80 P&L
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 90% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,714
−$61 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
No · entry 59%, now 66% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,859
+$717 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 83%, now 86% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,544
+$209 P&L
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,522
+$253 P&L
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No · entry 86%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,465
+$238 P&L
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No · entry 83%, now 82% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$5,262
−$100 P&L
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
No · entry 79%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,288
+$765 P&L
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 80%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,211
+$262 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Yes · entry 64%, now 58% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,689
−$355 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
No · entry 46%, now 64% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,615
+$1,044 P&L
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 29%, now 39% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,594
+$849 P&L
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,550
+$63 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes · entry 59%, now 40% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,550
−$1,662 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 87%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 87%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 87%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 88%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 88%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 88%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 88%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 88%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 87%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 97%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 92%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 66%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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