Pure-Threat has made $84K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,311 all time by profit, with 49M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$84K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 49M
- Portfolio value
- $113K
- Profit this month
- +$77K
- Win rate (last 192 closed)
- 67%
How Pure-Threat has traded
Across the 192 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 129 (67%) ended in profit and 63 in a loss, for +$11K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 58%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $61K together, the biggest is “Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?” (No) at 13% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Nov 5, 2025
+$61K
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Dec 23, 2025
+$45K
Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$44K
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Feb 26, 2026
+$29K
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Nov 13, 2025
+$27K
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Feb 19, 2026
+$27K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 62% · closed Sep 22, 2026
+$25K
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$24K
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Jan 19, 2026
+$24K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Sep 13, 2026
+$24K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
No · entry 89% · closed Apr 5, 2026
−$31K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 30% · closed Jun 5, 2026
−$26K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 8% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$23K
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 93% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$23K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 83% · closed Jun 5, 2026
−$21K
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$19K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 79% · closed Feb 20, 2026
−$12K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
No · entry 67% · closed Jun 5, 2026
−$11K
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Dec 10, 2025
−$11K
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Jan 21, 2026
−$10K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No · entry 80%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,631
+$1,162 P&L
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No · entry 60%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,250
+$1,283 P&L
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No · entry 68%, now 92% · ends Aug 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,728
+$1,467 P&L
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes · entry 24%, now 79% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,026
+$3,500 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 47%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,725
+$2,375 P&L
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 27%, now 26% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,231
−$163 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 11%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,847
+$3,424 P&L
AI bubble burst in 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,821
+$11 P&L
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 50%, now 78% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,327
+$1,209 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 78%, now 82% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,260
+$140 P&L
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
No · entry 90%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,244
−$141 P&L
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?
No · entry 71%, now 94% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,820
+$679 P&L
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 79%, now 78% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,814
−$54 P&L
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?
No · entry 81%, now 96% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,311
+$369 P&L
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?
No · entry 58%, now 70% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,946
+$334 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 11%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Sold Yes at 12%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Sold Yes at 6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Sold Yes at 0.4%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Bought No at 69%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
Bought No at 39%
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?
Sold No at 77%
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?
Bought No at 71%
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?
Sold No at 95%
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?
Sold Yes at 11%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Sold Yes at 11%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Sold No at 95%
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?
Sold Yes at 60%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Sold Yes at 60%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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