dromedaryy has made $484K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #435 all time by profit, with 10M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$484K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 10M
- Portfolio value
- $692K
- Profit this month
- +$459K
- Win rate (last 45 closed)
- 78%
How dromedaryy has traded
Across all 45 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 35 (78%) ended in profit and 10 in a loss, for +$627K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 45%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 20 of the 45 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $653K together, the biggest is “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” (No) at 26% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$173K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No · entry 50% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$79K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Oct 12, 2026
+$78K
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 66% · closed Sep 15, 2026
+$72K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$57K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 28% · closed Oct 12, 2026
+$44K
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
No · entry 31% · closed Oct 12, 2026
+$34K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$29K
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No · entry 66% · closed Oct 8, 2026
+$21K
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Sep 17, 2026
+$12K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 48% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$47K
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$1,708
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Sep 19, 2026
−$1,492
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Sep 19, 2026
−$1,492
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$1,369
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 70% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$1,114
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 12, 2026
−$111
LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?
No · entry 8% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$104
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No · entry 64% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$59
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No · entry 61% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$33
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 70%, now 75% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$170K
+$11K P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 18%, now 38% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$112K
+$58K P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 17%, now 38% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$109K
+$58K P&L
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 8%, now 10% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$71K
+$11K P&L
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$31K
+$1,535 P&L
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Yes · entry 17%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2029
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25K
+$357 P&L
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
No · entry 28%, now 60% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
+$13K P&L
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 62%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
+$194 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Yes · entry 76%, now 96% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$23K
+$4,753 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 29%, now 30% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$235 P&L
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No · entry 47%, now 47% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$13K
+$22 P&L
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 69%, now 69% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
−$91 P&L
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Yes · entry 6%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,368
+$2,755 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 18%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,849
+$5,605 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No · entry 14%, now 16% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,750
+$750 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 65%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Sold Yes at 65%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought Yes at 2%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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