2026 Arkansas Governor Race odds
Polymarket traders make Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) the favorite for “Arkansas Governor Election Winner” at 97% (+0.4 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Fredrick Love (D) at 2%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 97%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)97%24h +0.4 ptsOdds 1.03US −3746Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
Fredrick Love (D)2%24h −0.2 ptsOdds 48.78US +4778Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Arkansas Governor Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) leads at 97%, ahead of Fredrick Love (D) at 2%. Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) is up 0.4 points over the last 24 hours and up 0.3 points over the past week. Traders have put $12K through the event so far, including $20 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
No trades of $1,000 or more on this market recently.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in Arkansas Governor Election Winner?
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) is the favorite at 97%, followed by Fredrick Love (D) at 2%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?
- Polymarket traders give Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) a 97% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.03 (American −3746): $1 staked on Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) returns about $1.03 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.4 points.
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