2026 Alabama Senate Race odds
Polymarket traders make Barry Moore (R) the favorite for “Alabama Senate Election Winner” at 99% (+0.4 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Everett Wess (D) at 2%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 99%
Barry Moore (R)99%24h +0.4 ptsOdds 1.01US −7307Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
Everett Wess (D)2%24h −0.5 ptsOdds 66.67US +6567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Alabama Senate Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Barry Moore (R) leads at 99%, ahead of Everett Wess (D) at 2%. Barry Moore (R) is up 0.4 points over the last 24 hours and down 0.2 points over the past week. Traders have put $16K through the event so far, including $1,681 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
No trades of $1,000 or more on this market recently.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in Alabama Senate Election Winner?
- Barry Moore (R) is the favorite at 99%, followed by Everett Wess (D) at 2%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
- Polymarket traders give Barry Moore (R) a 99% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.01 (American −7307): $1 staked on Barry Moore (R) returns about $1.01 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.4 points.
