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Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? Live odds

Polymarket traders make Ciryl Gane the favorite for “Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026” at 70% (unchanged in the last 24 hours), ahead of Josh Hokit at 30%.

Market ends:

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

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Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.

Your pick

If Ciryl Gane wins “Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026”, $20 returns about $28.57.

Price per share
70¢
Implied chance
70%
Shares
28.57
Payout if it wins
$28.57
Profit if it wins
+$8.57
Odds
1.43 · −233

If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.

Back Ciryl Gane on Polymarket

Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice

Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 13:14 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 2
Ciryl GaneJosh HokitTom AspinallAlex Pereira

All 15 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026” is a Polymarket event with 15 open outcomes. Ciryl Gane leads at 70%, ahead of Josh Hokit at 30%. Ciryl Gane is unchanged over the last 24 hours and up 3.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $405K through the event so far, including $734 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Ciryl Gane is the favorite at 70%, followed by Josh Hokit at 30% and Tom Aspinall at 0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Polymarket traders give Ciryl Gane a 70% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.43 (American −233): $1 staked on Ciryl Gane returns about $1.43 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved by less than 0.1 points.

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