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Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026? Live odds

Polymarket traders make Joshua Van the favorite for “Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026” at 97% (−0.4 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Manel Kape at 1%.

Market ends:

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

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Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.

Your pick

If Joshua Van wins “Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026”, $20 returns about $20.55.

Price per share
97.3¢
Implied chance
97%
Shares
20.55
Payout if it wins
$20.55
Profit if it wins
+$0.55
Odds
1.03 · −3604

If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.

Back Joshua Van on Polymarket

Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice

Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 13:13 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 2
Joshua VanManel KapeBrandon RoyvalAlexandre Pantoja

All 11 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026” is a Polymarket event with 11 open outcomes. Joshua Van leads at 97%, ahead of Manel Kape at 1%. Joshua Van is down 0.4 points over the last 24 hours and up 0.4 points over the past week. Traders have put $1.2M through the event so far, including $59 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Joshua Van is the favorite at 97%, followed by Manel Kape at 1% and Brandon Royval at 0.3%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Polymarket traders give Joshua Van a 97% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.03 (American −3604): $1 staked on Joshua Van returns about $1.03 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 0.4 points.

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