3ddddd is down $789 in realized results on Polymarket, with 160K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$789
- All-time volume (shares)
- 160K
- Portfolio value
- $4,318
- Profit this month
- +$14
- Win rate (last 40 closed)
- 33%
How 3ddddd has traded
Across all 40 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 13 (33%) ended in profit and 27 in a loss, for −$1,130 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 36%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 12 largest open positions listed below, worth $4,318 together, the biggest is “Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?” (No) at 31% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jun 23, 2026
+$46
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jun 21, 2026
+$28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No · entry 52% · closed Sep 20, 2026
+$24
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$18
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Sep 22, 2026
+$14
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Sep 18, 2026
+$7
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Jun 30, 2026
+$5
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Oct 13, 2026
+$3
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
No · entry 27% · closed Oct 13, 2026
+$2
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 30?
Up · entry 97% · closed Apr 30, 2026
+$1
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 71% · closed Sep 3, 2026
−$397
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Apr 30, 2026
−$153
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
No · entry 20% · closed Sep 30, 2026
−$131
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$73
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
No · entry 61% · closed May 1, 2026
−$70
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?
No · entry 3% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$61
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
No · entry 8% · closed Sep 27, 2026
−$40
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?
Down · entry 50% · closed Apr 30, 2026
−$34
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?
Up · entry 45% · closed Apr 30, 2026
−$33
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No · entry 85%, now 86% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,345
+$16 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$997
+$4 P&L
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No · entry 90%, now 88% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$691
−$20 P&L
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 66% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$487
+$115 P&L
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 35% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$257
−$115 P&L
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes · entry 15%, now 14% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$225
−$18 P&L
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes · entry 11%, now 13% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$100
+$12 P&L
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 99%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 30%, now 43% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Recent trades
Bought No at 90%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Bought Yes at 11%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Bought No at 85%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Bought Yes at 16%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Sold No at 54%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Sold Yes at 25%
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 29%
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 29%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Sold Yes at 22%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?
Sold Yes at 6%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?
Bought No at 54%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Sold Yes at 41%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?
Sold Yes at 9%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?
Sold Yes at 41%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?
Bought Yes at 23%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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