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thebug44

0xde7c…c933 · Joined March 30, 2025

#1,124 all time#667,699 this monthView on Polymarket

thebug44 has made $184K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,124 all time by profit, with 9.4M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$184K
All-time volume (shares)
9.4M
Portfolio value
$85K
Profit this month
−$6,204
Win rate (last 111 closed)
47%

How thebug44 has traded

Across all 111 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 52 (47%) ended in profit and 59 in a loss, for +$361K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 36%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 68 of the 111 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $83K together, the biggest is “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (Yes) at 22% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

    Yes · entry 5% · closed Jun 14, 2026

    +$283K

  • Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

    No · entry 52% · closed Apr 6, 2025

    +$56K

  • Spurs vs. Knicks

    Spurs · entry 47% · closed Jun 9, 2026

    +$12K

  • Spurs vs. Knicks

    Knicks · entry 55% · closed Jun 11, 2026

    +$9,685

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

    No · entry 13% · closed Oct 22, 2026

    +$9,029

  • Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

    Argentina · entry 25% · closed Jul 7, 2026

    +$6,036

  • Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

    Yes · entry 12% · closed Jul 20, 2026

    +$5,655

  • Chiefs vs. Raiders

    Chiefs · entry 64% · closed Oct 5, 2026

    +$5,283

  • Will France win on 2026-06-16?

    Yes · entry 63% · closed Jun 16, 2026

    +$5,241

  • Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

    Yes · entry 29% · closed Jul 6, 2026

    +$4,843

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?

    Yes · entry 44% · closed Apr 8, 2026

    −$20K

  • Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

    Yes · entry 11% · closed Apr 8, 2026

    −$7,620

  • Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

    Yes · entry 32% · closed Apr 8, 2026

    −$5,120

  • 49ers vs. Seahawks

    49ers · entry 29% · closed Apr 8, 2026

    −$4,930

  • Lakers vs. Timberwolves

    Lakers · entry 23% · closed Jun 29, 2025

    −$3,650

  • Timberwolves vs. Spurs

    Spurs · entry 85% · closed May 10, 2026

    −$3,615

  • Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?

    Yes · entry 7% · closed Apr 8, 2026

    −$3,569

  • UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

    Khamzat Chimaev · entry 82% · closed May 10, 2026

    −$3,133

  • Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

    Yes · entry 8% · closed May 10, 2026

    −$3,028

  • Raptors vs. Cavaliers

    Raptors · entry 28% · closed May 10, 2026

    −$2,808

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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