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WhaleSays

TB14

0xae2b…90ea · Joined January 25, 2026

#3,223,827 all time#626,969 this monthView on Polymarket

TB14 is down $486K in realized results on Polymarket, with 13M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$486K
All-time volume (shares)
13M
Portfolio value
$24K
Profit this month
−$68
Win rate (last 200 closed)
40%

How TB14 has traded

Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 79 (40%) ended in profit and 121 in a loss, for +$22K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 37%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 6 largest open positions listed below, worth $24K together, the biggest is “Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?” (Yes) at 67% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?

    Yes · entry 26% · closed Feb 8, 2026

    +$44K

  • Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

    Yes · entry 31% · closed Jul 3, 2026

    +$41K

  • Spread: England (-1.5)

    England · entry 33% · closed Jun 17, 2026

    +$36K

  • Spread: France (-1.5)

    France · entry 39% · closed Jun 16, 2026

    +$25K

  • Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?

    Yes · entry 51% · closed Sep 9, 2026

    +$24K

  • Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

    Seahawks · entry 51% · closed Feb 9, 2026

    +$24K

  • Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?

    Yes · entry 47% · closed Feb 22, 2026

    +$22K

  • Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?

    Yes · entry 62% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    +$16K

  • Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?

    Yes · entry 34% · closed Mar 8, 2026

    +$13K

  • Spread: France (-1.5)

    France · entry 55% · closed Jun 30, 2026

    +$13K

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed Jul 15, 2026

    −$194K

  • Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

    Yes · entry 34% · closed May 20, 2026

    −$81K

  • France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

    France · entry 55% · closed Jul 14, 2026

    −$63K

  • Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

    Portugal · entry 47% · closed Jun 17, 2026

    −$25K

  • Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?

    Yes · entry 58% · closed Jun 13, 2026

    −$22K

  • Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?

    Yes · entry 35% · closed Jun 13, 2026

    −$19K

  • Spread: England (-1.5)

    England · entry 28% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    −$16K

  • Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

    Yes · entry 20% · closed Jul 20, 2026

    −$16K

  • Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?

    Yes · entry 37% · closed Jun 13, 2026

    −$15K

  • Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

    Yes · entry 45% · closed Jun 13, 2026

    −$14K

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

  • Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?

    Yes · entry 7%, now 11% · ends Apr 1, 2027

  • Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

    Yes · entry 16%, now 8% · ends Apr 1, 2027

  • Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

    No · entry 22%, now 0.7% · ends Dec 6, 2026

  • Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

    Yes · entry 9%, now <0.1% · ended Dec 6, 2026

    $17

    −$3,233 P&L

  • Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

    Yes · entry 0.5%, now <0.1% · ended Dec 6, 2026

    $11

    −$92 P&L

  • Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    Yes · entry 7%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026

    $7

    −$893 P&L

Recent trades

  • Bought Yes at 0.1%

    Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

  • Bought Yes at 34%

    Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-10-17?

  • Bought Yes at 34%

    Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-10-17?

  • Bought at 23%

    Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?

    $2,889

  • Sold at >99%

    Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score AND Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?

    $3,432

  • Bought at 3%

    Will Bradford City AFC win on 2026-10-17? AND Will Barnet FC win on 2026-10-17? AND Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-10-17? AND Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-10-17? AND Will Southampton FC win on 2026-10-17? AND Will Salford City FC win on 2026-10-17? AND Will Stockport County FC win on 2026-10-17?

    $20

  • Bought Yes at 19%

    Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

  • Bought FC Bayern München at 40%

    Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)

  • Bought at 10%

    Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?

    $239

  • Bought at 7%

    Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?

    $478

  • Bought Rams at 43%

    Bills vs. Rams

  • Bought Rams at 49%

    Bills vs. Rams

  • Bought at 24%

    Bills vs. Rams AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?

    $1,445

  • Bought Rams at 47%

    Bills vs. Rams

  • Bought Rams at 26%

    Spread: Rams (-5.5)

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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