Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory odds
Polymarket traders make Republican 5-10% the favorite for “Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory” at 33% (+3.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Republican 10-15% at 25%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 9 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 33%
Republican 5-10%33%24h +3.5 ptsOdds 3.08US +208Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 25%Republican 10-15%25%24h −2.7 ptsOdds 4.00US +300Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 20%Republican 0-5%20%24h +7.4 ptsOdds 4.91US +391Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 9%
Democrat Wins9%24h −0.4 ptsOdds 11.17US +1017Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 5%Republican 15-20%5%24h −3.8 ptsOdds 18.87US +1787Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 3%Republican 35%+3%24h −0.3 ptsOdds 29.85US +2885Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 3%Republican 30-35%3%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 31.75US +3075Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2%Republican 25-30%2%24h −1.4 ptsOdds 50.00US +4900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.9%Republican 20-25%0.9%24h −2.5 ptsOdds 105.26US +10426Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory” is a Polymarket event with 9 open outcomes. Republican 5-10% leads at 33%, ahead of Republican 10-15% at 25%. Republican 5-10% is up 3.5 points over the last 24 hours and up 6.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $26K through the event so far, including $575 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
SnowLover7 bought No at 76%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?
How this market resolves
The 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory?
- Republican 5-10% is the favorite at 33%, followed by Republican 10-15% at 25% and Republican 0-5% at 20%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?
- Polymarket traders give Republican 5-10% a 33% chance, which is decimal odds of 3.08 (American +208): $1 staked on Republican 5-10% returns about $3.08 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 3.5 points.
