New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner odds
Polymarket traders make Bruce Blakeman (R) the favorite for “New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner” at 53% (−3.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Kathy Hochul (D) at 36%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 53%
Bruce Blakeman (R)53%24h −3.0 ptsOdds 1.90US −111Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 36%
Kathy Hochul (D)36%24h +6.0 ptsOdds 2.82US +182Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Bruce Blakeman (R) leads at 53%, ahead of Kathy Hochul (D) at 36%. Bruce Blakeman (R) is down 3.0 points over the last 24 hours and down 22 points over the past week. Traders have put $35K through the event so far, including $994 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 3, 2026.
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The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner?
- Bruce Blakeman (R) is the favorite at 53%, followed by Kathy Hochul (D) at 36%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?
- Polymarket traders give Bruce Blakeman (R) a 53% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.90 (American −111): $1 staked on Bruce Blakeman (R) returns about $1.90 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 3.0 points.
