Largest Company end of December 2026 odds
Polymarket traders make NVIDIA the favorite for “Largest Company end of December 2026” at 60% (+1.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Apple at 37%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 8 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 60%
NVIDIA60%24h +1.0 ptsOdds 1.67US −150Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 37%
Apple37%24h −1.5 ptsOdds 2.69US +169Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 1%
Alphabet1%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 71.43US +7043Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.5%
Microsoft0.5%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 200.00US +19900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.4%
SpaceX0.4%24h −0.2 ptsOdds 285.71US +28471Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Tesla<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Saudi Aramco<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Amazon<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Largest Company end of December 2026” is a Polymarket event with 8 open outcomes. NVIDIA leads at 60%, ahead of Apple at 37%. NVIDIA is up 1.0 points over the last 24 hours and down 6.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $8.9M through the event so far, including $13K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

yanchu1 sold No at 99%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Hauchn bought Yes at 39%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Respectful-Share sold Yes at 53%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Istaroth sold No at 75%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Hauchn bought Yes at 23%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Respectful-Share bought Yes at 76%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

tumble bought No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed bought No at 76%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Adventurous-Semiconductor sold Yes at 24%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

aiwar bought Yes at 72%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

aiwar bought Yes at 72%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Noahrichards98 sold Yes at 67%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

pykue bought Yes at 70%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

presidentmaster sold No at 97%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Hauchn bought Yes at 34%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed bought No at 66%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0x4e8e…cbf8 sold No at >99%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0x4e8e…cbf8 bought No at >99%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0x4e8e…cbf8 sold No at >99%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0x4e8e…cbf8 bought No at >99%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0x4e8e…cbf8 sold No at >99%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0x4e8e…cbf8 bought No at >99%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0x4e8e…cbf8 sold No at >99%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0x4e8e…cbf8 bought No at >99%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Hauchn bought Yes at 27%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

donthackme bought No at >99%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

donthackme bought No at 98%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

donthackme bought No at >99%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0x4e8e…cbf8 sold No at >99%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0x4e8e…cbf8 bought No at >99%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in Largest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA is the favorite at 60%, followed by Apple at 37% and Alphabet at 1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- Polymarket traders give NVIDIA a 60% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.67 (American −150): $1 staked on NVIDIA returns about $1.67 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 1.0 points.