2nd Largest Company end of October 2026 odds
Polymarket traders make Apple the favorite for “2nd Largest Company end of October 2026” at 70% (+8.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of NVIDIA at 25%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 9 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 70%
Apple70%24h +8.5 ptsOdds 1.44US −228Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 25%
NVIDIA25%24h −15 ptsOdds 4.07US +307Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.1%
Microsoft0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.1%
Alphabet0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Tesla<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Saudi Aramco<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Amazon<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Broadcom<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
SpaceX<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“2nd Largest Company end of October 2026” is a Polymarket event with 9 open outcomes. Apple leads at 70%, ahead of NVIDIA at 25%. Apple is up 8.5 points over the last 24 hours and down 4.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $105K through the event so far, including $8,252 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 1, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

ghusdd bought No at >99%
Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

ghusdd bought No at >99%
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

ghusdd bought No at >99%
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

0xbbba…d60f bought Yes at 91%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

0xbbba…d60f sold Yes at 90%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

0xbbba…d60f bought Yes at 93%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in 2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
- Apple is the favorite at 70%, followed by NVIDIA at 25% and Microsoft at 0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
- Polymarket traders give Apple a 70% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.44 (American −228): $1 staked on Apple returns about $1.44 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 8.5 points.
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