tumble is down $73 in realized results on Polymarket, with 119K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$73
- All-time volume (shares)
- 119K
- Portfolio value
- $159
- Profit this month
- +$65
- Win rate (last 43 closed)
- 58%
How tumble has traded
Across all 43 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 25 (58%) ended in profit and 18 in a loss, for −$74 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 72%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 3 largest open positions listed below, worth $158 together, the biggest is “Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 95% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?
No · entry 11% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$9
Will the match between Atalanta and Real Madrid end in a draw?
No · entry 73% · closed Jan 15, 2025
+$1
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have 1.5 Million Likes on Friday at Noon?
No · entry 89% · closed Feb 24, 2026
+$1
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
No · entry 86% · closed Oct 8, 2025
+$1
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$1
Will the match between RB Salzburg and Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?
No · entry 87% · closed Jan 15, 2025
+$1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$0
GTA VI released before June 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$0
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
No · entry 87% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$0
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?
No · entry 87% · closed Oct 8, 2025
+$0
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Jan 15, 2025
−$50
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
No · entry 59% · closed Oct 8, 2025
−$5
UFC 303: Who will win - Anthony Smith vs. Roman Dolidze?
Smith · entry 44% · closed Jul 9, 2024
−$5
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Oct 8, 2025
−$5
UFC 303: Who will win - Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson?
Silva · entry 49% · closed Jul 9, 2024
−$5
Will Keycat reach $1b first?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 21, 2024
−$4
Texans vs. Cowboys
Cowboys · entry 24% · closed Dec 10, 2024
−$3
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
No · entry >99% · closed Mar 13, 2026
−$2
Open Championship – Hole in One?
No · entry 59% · closed Oct 8, 2025
−$2
Ethereum above $3,000 on July 12?
No · entry 33% · closed Sep 1, 2024
−$2
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$151
+$0 P&L
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
No · entry 6%, now 32% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
No · entry 84%, now 100% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$2
+$0 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 98%
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 16%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 19-25?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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