aiwar is down $7,343 in realized results on Polymarket, with 1.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$7,343
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.0M
- Portfolio value
- $46K
- Profit this month
- −$6,225
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 67%
How aiwar has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 134 (67%) ended in profit and 66 in a loss, for −$5,456 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 69%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 12 largest open positions listed below, worth $46K together, the biggest is “Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” (Yes) at 15% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$3,126

Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$2,570

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$2,153

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Jun 5, 2026
+$1,977

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Jul 14, 2026
+$1,782

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No · entry 87% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$1,765

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Gold · entry 71% · closed Jan 28, 2026
+$1,740

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Aug 22, 2026
+$1,632

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Aug 31, 2026
+$1,621

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No · entry 88% · closed Sep 9, 2026
+$1,570
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Sep 17, 2026
−$17K

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Jul 31, 2026
−$10K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Aug 4, 2026
−$4,295

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 80% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$3,262

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Jul 22, 2026
−$3,042

Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Aug 21, 2026
−$2,434

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Jun 14, 2026
−$2,156

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Feb 18, 2026
−$1,637

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Sep 17, 2026
−$1,525

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$1,401
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 90%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,830
+$406 P&L

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 84%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,600
−$107 P&L

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 95%, now 69% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,030
−$2,353 P&L

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 84%, now 77% · ends Dec 10, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,737
−$567 P&L

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes · entry 76%, now 62% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,960
−$1,105 P&L

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Yes · entry 92%, now 87% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,758
−$322 P&L

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 82%, now 46% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,730
−$2,217 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,550
−$119 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 56%, now 41% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,430
−$921 P&L

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 23%, now 18% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,424
−$422 P&L

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 77%, now 32% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,103
−$1,595 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 74%, now 60% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$744
−$184 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 65%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Bought Yes at 65%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Bought Yes at 65%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Bought Yes at 65%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Bought Yes at 65%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Bought Yes at 65%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Bought Yes at 65%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Bought Yes at 43%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 72%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Bought Yes at 43%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 43%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 43%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 43%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 43%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 72%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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