2026 Guam Governor Race odds
Polymarket traders make Vicente Ada (R) the favorite for “Guam Governor Election Winner” at 65% (+10 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Therese Terlaje (D) at 29%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 65%
Vicente Ada (R)65%24h +10 ptsOdds 1.55US −182Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 29%
Therese Terlaje (D)29%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 3.40US +240Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Guam Governor Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Vicente Ada (R) leads at 65%, ahead of Therese Terlaje (D) at 29%. Vicente Ada (R) is up 10 points over the last 24 hours and down 5.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $11K through the event so far, including $288 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 3, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in Guam Governor Election Winner?
- Vicente Ada (R) is the favorite at 65%, followed by Therese Terlaje (D) at 29%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?
- Polymarket traders give Vicente Ada (R) a 65% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.55 (American −182): $1 staked on Vicente Ada (R) returns about $1.55 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 10 points.
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