nedsta has made $23K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #7,261 all time by profit, with 3.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$23K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.7M
- Portfolio value
- $111K
- Profit this month
- −$7,666
- Win rate (last 209 settled)
- 89%
If you had copied nedsta
What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position nedsta opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.
Last 30 days
$100 → $96
−4% across 21 positions, 57% in profit. Best +$600, worst −$2,481.
Last 90 days
$100 → $93
−7% across 81 positions, 75% in profit. Best +$1,549, worst −$10K.
Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as nedsta, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.
Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)How nedsta has traded
Polymarket lists 209 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Mar 25, 2026. Of them, 185 (89%) ended in profit and 24 in a loss, for a net −$2,877 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 92%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 14 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $94K together, the biggest is “ Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?” (No) at 17% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (10 of the 209 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?
No · entry 83% · closed Apr 1, 2025
+$9,976

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 65% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$6,500

Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?
No · entry 84% · closed Sep 1, 2025
+$4,388

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Mar 22, 2026
+$4,311

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
No · entry 89% · closed Nov 1, 2025
+$3,691

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
No · entry 91% · closed Jul 1, 2025
+$2,791

Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Yes · entry 82% · closed May 17, 2026
+$2,705

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$2,645

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
No · entry 90% · closed May 1, 2026
+$2,592

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
No · entry 89% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$2,517
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$17K

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 87% · closed Mar 6, 2026
−$13K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
No · entry 91% · closed Jul 1, 2025
−$12K

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 76% · market settled, not redeemed
−$10K

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 98% · market settled, not redeemed
−$8,880

Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$6,941

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
No · entry 90% · closed Aug 8, 2025
−$6,750

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 84% · market settled, not redeemed
−$5,289

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 92% · market settled, not redeemed
−$4,952

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$3,901
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No · entry 92%, now >99% · ended Nov 1, 2026
$16K
+$1,310 P&L

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No · entry 78%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$2,517 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 79%, now 84% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$888 P&L

Iran leadership change by December 31?
No · entry 89%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
−$558 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 78%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$2,140 P&L

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
No · entry 77%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,628
+$1,873 P&L

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
No · entry 87%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,793
−$36 P&L

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,078
+$286 P&L

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 82%, now 84% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,107
+$108 P&L

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
No · entry 88%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,857
−$50 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 91%, now 95% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,591
+$133 P&L

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No · entry 85%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,140
+$351 P&L

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 74%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,216
+$254 P&L

Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 81%, now 79% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$566
−$16 P&L

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No · entry 79%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$430
+$39 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 80%
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 83%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought No at 82%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought No at 64%
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?

Bought No at 89%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Bought Yes at 82%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 82%
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Sold Yes at 79%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Bought Yes at 86%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold No at 98%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Sold No at 98%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Bought Yes at 80%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Bought Yes at 84%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Bought No at 83%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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