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nedsta

0xf92a…a517 · Joined November 24, 2024

#7,261 all time#675,459 this monthView on Polymarket

nedsta has made $23K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #7,261 all time by profit, with 3.7M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$23K
All-time volume (shares)
3.7M
Portfolio value
$111K
Profit this month
−$7,666
Win rate (last 209 settled)
89%

If you had copied nedsta

What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position nedsta opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.

Last 30 days

$100 → $96

−4% across 21 positions, 57% in profit. Best +$600, worst −$2,481.

Last 90 days

$100 → $93

−7% across 81 positions, 75% in profit. Best +$1,549, worst −$10K.

Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as nedsta, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.

Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)

How nedsta has traded

Polymarket lists 209 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Mar 25, 2026. Of them, 185 (89%) ended in profit and 24 in a loss, for a net −$2,877 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 92%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 14 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $94K together, the biggest is “ Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?” (No) at 17% of that value.

How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (10 of the 209 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

  • South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?

    No · entry 83% · closed Apr 1, 2025

    +$9,976

  • Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

    No · entry 65% · closed Apr 1, 2026

    +$6,500

  • Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?

    No · entry 84% · closed Sep 1, 2025

    +$4,388

  • Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

    Yes · entry 67% · closed Mar 22, 2026

    +$4,311

  • Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?

    No · entry 89% · closed Nov 1, 2025

    +$3,691

  • Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?

    No · entry 91% · closed Jul 1, 2025

    +$2,791

  • Will Trump visit China by June 30?

    Yes · entry 82% · closed May 17, 2026

    +$2,705

  • US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

    No · entry 83% · closed Feb 1, 2026

    +$2,645

  • Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

    No · entry 90% · closed May 1, 2026

    +$2,592

  • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

    No · entry 89% · closed Jan 1, 2026

    +$2,517

Biggest losses

The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

  • Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 91% · closed Jun 1, 2026

    −$17K

  • Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

    No · entry 87% · closed Mar 6, 2026

    −$13K

  • Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

    No · entry 91% · closed Jul 1, 2025

    −$12K

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 76% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$10K

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

    No · entry 98% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$8,880

  • Will Trump visit China by April 30?

    Yes · entry 80% · closed Mar 19, 2026

    −$6,941

  • Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

    No · entry 90% · closed Aug 8, 2025

    −$6,750

  • US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

    No · entry 84% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$5,289

  • Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

    No · entry 92% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$4,952

  • Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

    Yes · entry 86% · closed Mar 19, 2026

    −$3,901

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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