Stable-Armament
0xf559…f462 · Joined August 19, 2025
Stable-Armament is down $453K in realized results on Polymarket, with 23M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$453K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 23M
- Portfolio value
- $227K
- Profit this month
- −$121K
- Win rate (last 341 settled)
- 50%
If you had copied Stable-Armament
What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position Stable-Armament opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.
Last 30 days
$100 → $94
−6% across 95 positions, 46% in profit. Best +$40K, worst −$39K.
Last 90 days
$100 → $90
−10% across 292 positions, 47% in profit. Best +$48K, worst −$51K.
Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as Stable-Armament, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.
Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)How Stable-Armament has traded
Polymarket lists 341 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Jul 19, 2026. Of them, 169 (50%) ended in profit and 172 in a loss, for a net −$623K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 56%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 290 of the 341 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 14 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $151K together, the biggest is “Spread: Warriors (-2.5)” (Clippers) at 14% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (142 of the 341 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$164K

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
Alexander Zverev · entry 60% · closed Sep 13, 2026
+$48K

Hornets vs. Wizards
Wizards · entry 50% · closed Oct 31, 2026
+$40K

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils
Rafael Jodar · entry 60% · closed Aug 11, 2026
+$37K

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
G2 · entry 57% · closed Aug 31, 2026
+$37K

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
Nemiga · entry 47% · closed Oct 30, 2026
+$37K

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
FURIA · entry 59% · closed Aug 20, 2026
+$35K

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Natus Vincere · entry 44% · closed Oct 28, 2026
+$35K

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
MOUZ · entry 61% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$33K

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
MOUZ · entry 39% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$32K
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 41% · market settled, not redeemed
−$92K

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz · entry 78% · market settled, not redeemed
−$51K

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Natus Vincere · entry 55% · market settled, not redeemed
−$49K

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
Spirit · entry 79% · closed Aug 8, 2026
−$45K

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Natus Vincere · entry 70% · market settled, not redeemed
−$42K

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
FUT Esports · entry 59% · market settled, not redeemed
−$40K

Jaguars vs. Broncos
Jaguars · entry 63% · market settled, not redeemed
−$40K

Cowboys vs. Packers
Cowboys · entry 51% · market settled, not redeemed
−$39K

Cavaliers vs. Hawks
Cavaliers · entry 49% · market settled, not redeemed
−$39K

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Natus Vincere · entry 64% · market settled, not redeemed
−$36K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 77%, now >99% · ended Oct 31, 2026
$64K
+$14K P&L

Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
Clippers · entry 52%, now 52% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
−$197 P&L

Raptors vs. Lakers
Lakers · entry 58%, now 59% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$78 P&L

Nets vs. Pacers
Pacers · entry 62%, now 62% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
−$152 P&L

Clippers vs. Warriors
Clippers · entry 46%, now 45% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
−$600 P&L

Celtics vs. Magic
Celtics · entry 70%, now 71% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$97 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
No · entry 50%, now 49% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,700
−$300 P&L

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 6%, now 5% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,769
−$1,528 P&L

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
FaZe · entry 31%, now 28% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,151
−$789 P&L

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)
FaZe · entry 59%, now 57% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,681
−$298 P&L

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 27%, now 26% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,599
−$377 P&L

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
Natus Vincere · entry 44%, now 43% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,375
−$225 P&L

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
B8 · entry 40%, now 41% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,512
+$68 P&L

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 3%, now 3% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,384
−$397 P&L

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 2%, now 2% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,384
+$521 P&L
Recent trades

Bought FaZe at 59%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)

Bought FaZe at 59%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)

Bought Lakers at 59%
Raptors vs. Lakers

Bought Lakers at 58%
Raptors vs. Lakers

Bought FaZe at 59%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)

Bought FaZe at 31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Bought FaZe at 31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Bought FaZe at 31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Bought FaZe at 31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Bought FaZe at 31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Bought FaZe at 59%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)

Bought FaZe at 59%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)

Bought FaZe at 59%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)

Bought FaZe at 31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Bought FaZe at 31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.