kgvdotcom is down $142K in realized results on Polymarket, with 14M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$142K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 14M
- Portfolio value
- $139K
- Win rate (all 91 settled)
- 81%
How kgvdotcom has traded
Polymarket lists 91 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 74 (81%) ended in profit and 17 in a loss, for a net −$142K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 95%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. The one position on a market that has not ended, listed below, is “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes), worth $139K.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (2 of the 91 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 98% · closed Jun 29, 2026
+$12K
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Aug 12, 2026
+$6,396
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$6,222
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$4,672
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 11, 2026
+$4,327
Will a Democrat win Maine Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Nov 7, 2024
+$3,965
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No · entry 93% · closed May 27, 2026
+$3,887
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 97% · closed Jul 8, 2026
+$3,472
Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Nov 7, 2024
+$3,140
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 97% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$3,096
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Yes · entry 99% · closed May 26, 2026
−$81K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$74K
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 17% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$26K
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 99% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$20K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Yes · entry 98% · closed May 26, 2026
−$20K
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$16K
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
No · entry 97% · closed Aug 12, 2026
−$8,543
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Aug 12, 2026
−$7,071
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Dec 1, 2025
−$1,171
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?
No · entry >99% · closed Nov 21, 2025
−$893
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 95%, now 95% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$139K
−$735 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 95%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought Yes at 95%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought No at 97%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
$24
Sold No at >99%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$11K
Sold Yes at >99%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$41K
Bought Yes at >99%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$518
Bought Yes at >99%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$4,974
Bought No at 92%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$4,906
Bought No at 91%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$73
Bought No at 90%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$4,995
Bought Yes at 93%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$243
Bought Yes at 92%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$3,467
Bought Yes at 93%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$380
Bought Yes at 93%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$380
Bought Yes at 80%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$760
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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