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nibelung.retired

nibelung.retired

0xcbab…9a8a · Joined February 3, 2021

#3,236,278 all time#675,157 this monthView on Polymarket

nibelung.retired is down $40K in realized results on Polymarket, with 4.1M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$40K
All-time volume (shares)
4.1M
Portfolio value
$128K
Profit this month
−$6,536
Win rate (last 212 settled)
81%

If you had copied nibelung.retired

What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position nibelung.retired opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.

Last 30 days

$100 → $100

−0% across 45 positions, 78% in profit. Best +$1,533, worst −$3,035.

Last 90 days

$100 → $100

−0% across 85 positions, 81% in profit. Best +$1,533, worst −$4,863.

Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as nibelung.retired, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.

Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)

How nibelung.retired has traded

Polymarket lists 212 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Jun 2, 2026. Of them, 171 (81%) ended in profit and 41 in a loss, for a net −$65K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 86%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 15 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $113K together, the biggest is “Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (No) at 25% of that value.

How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (16 of the 212 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

    Yes · entry 80% · closed Jun 18, 2026

    +$32K

  • MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

    No · entry 96% · closed Jun 4, 2026

    +$9,471

  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

    No · entry 92% · closed Jun 2, 2026

    +$6,931

  • Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

    No · entry 22% · closed Sep 12, 2026

    +$6,367

  • Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

    No · entry 94% · closed Jun 9, 2026

    +$5,728

  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

    No · entry 73% · closed Jun 2, 2026

    +$3,554

  • SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

    Yes · entry 96% · closed Jun 12, 2026

    +$2,664

  • Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

    No · entry 94% · closed Jun 19, 2026

    +$2,163

  • Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

    No · entry 96% · closed Jun 1, 2026

    +$1,947

  • Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

    No · entry 96% · closed May 1, 2026

    +$1,636

Biggest losses

The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

    No · entry 81% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$78K

  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

    No · entry 91% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$26K

  • Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

    No · entry 97% · closed Jun 12, 2026

    −$12K

  • Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 26% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$4,863

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

    No · entry 87% · closed Apr 8, 2026

    −$3,200

  • Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

    No · entry 79% · closed Jun 27, 2026

    −$3,036

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 85% · closed Oct 26, 2026

    −$3,035

  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

    No · entry 63% · closed Jun 15, 2026

    −$2,751

  • Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

    No · entry 55% · closed Feb 10, 2026

    −$1,964

  • Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

    Yes · entry 20% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$1,947

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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