
nibelung.retired
0xcbab…9a8a · Joined February 3, 2021
nibelung.retired is down $40K in realized results on Polymarket, with 4.1M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$40K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.1M
- Portfolio value
- $128K
- Profit this month
- −$6,536
- Win rate (last 212 settled)
- 81%
If you had copied nibelung.retired
What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position nibelung.retired opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.
Last 30 days
$100 → $100
−0% across 45 positions, 78% in profit. Best +$1,533, worst −$3,035.
Last 90 days
$100 → $100
−0% across 85 positions, 81% in profit. Best +$1,533, worst −$4,863.
Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as nibelung.retired, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.
Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)How nibelung.retired has traded
Polymarket lists 212 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Jun 2, 2026. Of them, 171 (81%) ended in profit and 41 in a loss, for a net −$65K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 86%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 15 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $113K together, the biggest is “Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (No) at 25% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (16 of the 212 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$32K

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 96% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$9,471

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
No · entry 92% · closed Jun 2, 2026
+$6,931

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
No · entry 22% · closed Sep 12, 2026
+$6,367

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No · entry 94% · closed Jun 9, 2026
+$5,728

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
No · entry 73% · closed Jun 2, 2026
+$3,554

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$2,664

Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
No · entry 94% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$2,163

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
No · entry 96% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$1,947

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
No · entry 96% · closed May 1, 2026
+$1,636
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
No · entry 81% · market settled, not redeemed
−$78K

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
No · entry 91% · market settled, not redeemed
−$26K

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
No · entry 97% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$12K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 26% · market settled, not redeemed
−$4,863

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
No · entry 87% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$3,200

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
No · entry 79% · closed Jun 27, 2026
−$3,036

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Oct 26, 2026
−$3,035

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
No · entry 63% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$2,751

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
No · entry 55% · closed Feb 10, 2026
−$1,964

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 20% · market settled, not redeemed
−$1,947
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 92%, now 95% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$28K
+$686 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 94% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$397 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 92%, now 94% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,896
+$139 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,763
+$224 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 92%, now 94% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,759
+$108 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 95%, now 99% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,610
+$238 P&L

Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,566
+$169 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,718
+$61 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?
Yes · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,327
+$6 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?
Yes · entry 91%, now 95% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,903
+$207 P&L

Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,859
−$8 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?
Yes · entry 94%, now 94% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,737
+$13 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?
Yes · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,402
+$104 P&L

Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat?
No · entry 95%, now >99% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,848
+$122 P&L

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?
No · entry 93%, now >99% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,569
+$175 P&L
Recent trades

Sold No at 93%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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