Arvid2 is down $246 in realized results on Polymarket, with 172K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$246
- All-time volume (shares)
- 172K
- Portfolio value
- $2,200
- Profit this month
- −$870
- Win rate (all 113 settled)
- 37%
If you had copied Arvid2
What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position Arvid2 opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.
Last 90 days
$100 → $103
+3% across 72 positions, 40% in profit. Best +$660, worst −$264.
Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as Arvid2, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.
Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)How Arvid2 has traded
Polymarket lists 113 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 42 (37%) ended in profit and 71 in a loss, for a net −$502 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 26%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 92 of the 113 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (1 of the 113 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Up · entry 1% · closed Sep 28, 2026
+$167
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Up · entry 30% · closed Jun 2, 2026
+$155
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Up · entry 18% · closed Sep 7, 2026
+$110
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Down · entry 54% · closed Sep 7, 2026
+$108
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Up · entry 51% · closed Oct 30, 2026
+$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Down · entry 2% · closed Oct 30, 2026
+$96
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Down · entry 67% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$84
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Up · entry 38% · closed Oct 30, 2026
+$61
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Up · entry 1% · closed Sep 29, 2026
+$57
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 0.7% · closed Sep 28, 2026
+$57
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Down · entry 27% · closed Sep 8, 2026
−$264
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Down · entry 55% · closed Sep 30, 2026
−$124
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Down · entry 4% · closed Oct 30, 2026
−$117
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Up · entry 9% · closed Jun 2, 2026
−$114
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Up · entry 5% · closed Sep 7, 2026
−$91
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Up · entry 8% · closed Oct 30, 2026
−$90
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Up · entry 47% · closed Sep 7, 2026
−$89
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Down · entry 6% · closed Jun 2, 2026
−$80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Down · entry 26% · closed Sep 28, 2026
−$73
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Up · entry 16% · closed Oct 30, 2026
−$66
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No · entry 30%, now 34% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$1,675
+$175 P&L
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 26%, now 28% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$518
+$30 P&L
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 2%, now <0.1% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$6
−$174 P&L
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 0.2%, now <0.1% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$1
−$4 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 27%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought Yes at 27%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought Yes at 26%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought No at 30%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Sold No at 29%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought No at 30%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Sold Up at 21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Bought Up at 16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Bought Down at 1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Bought Down at 28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Sold Up at 83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Bought Up at 36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.