196874353278 has made $18K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #8,878 all time by profit, with 2.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 2, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$18K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.3M
- Portfolio value
- $11K
- Profit this month
- +$23K
- Win rate (last 314 settled)
- 52%
How 196874353278 has traded
Polymarket lists 314 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Oct 29, 2026. Of them, 163 (52%) ended in profit and 151 in a loss, for a net +$11K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 44%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 226 of the 314 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 15 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $9,556 together, the biggest is “Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?” (Yes) at 26% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (119 of the 314 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Oct 30, 2026
+$3,178

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 29?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Oct 30, 2026
+$2,623

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Oct 29, 2026
+$2,537

Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 25?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$2,527

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?
Up · entry 3% · closed Jul 2, 2026
+$2,096

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?
No · entry 6% · closed Oct 19, 2026
+$2,052

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
No · entry 99% · closed Nov 1, 2026
+$1,841

Ethereum Up or Down on October 29?
Up · entry 59% · closed Oct 29, 2026
+$1,779

Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 29?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Oct 29, 2026
+$1,725

Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 28?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Oct 29, 2026
+$1,543
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?
No · entry 78% · market settled, not redeemed
−$3,887

Ethereum Up or Down on October 28?
Up · entry 29% · market settled, not redeemed
−$2,412

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 29?
No · entry 83% · market settled, not redeemed
−$2,245

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 1?
No · entry >99% · closed Nov 1, 2026
−$2,073

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?
No · entry 45% · closed Oct 30, 2026
−$1,533

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?
Yes · entry 27% · market settled, not redeemed
−$1,516

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?
Down · entry 42% · market settled, not redeemed
−$1,391

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
No · entry 34% · closed Oct 30, 2026
−$1,278

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?
Yes · entry 21% · market settled, not redeemed
−$1,144

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?
Yes · entry 0.2% · market settled, not redeemed
−$964
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?
Yes · entry 75%, now 77% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,493
+$50 P&L

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2?
No · entry 74%, now 71% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,715
−$91 P&L

Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?
Up · entry 49%, now 54% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,298
+$108 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?
Yes · entry 11%, now 12% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$571
+$24 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?
Yes · entry 19%, now 19% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$496
−$13 P&L

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?
No · entry 96%, now >99% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$490
+$17 P&L

Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1?
Yes · entry 22%, now 14% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$469
−$306 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?
Yes · entry 6%, now 3% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$469
−$603 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November?
Yes · entry 7%, now 8% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$328
+$20 P&L

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?
Yes · entry 51%, now 53% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$273
+$10 P&L

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 26-November 1?
Yes · entry 7%, now 3% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$264
−$320 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?
Yes · entry 5%, now 5% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$203
−$10 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 1?
Yes · entry 7%, now 2% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$203
−$427 P&L

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?
No · entry 11%, now 6% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$155
−$113 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1?
Yes · entry 1%, now 0.5% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$129
−$113 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 83%
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on November 1?

Bought No at 83%
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on November 1?

Bought No at 79%
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 October 26-November 1?

Bought Up at 51%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7PM ET

Bought Yes at 3%
Will Solana dip to $60 in November?

Bought Yes at 3%
Will Solana dip to $60 in November?

Bought Yes at 3%
Will Solana dip to $60 in November?

Bought Yes at 11%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1?

Bought Yes at 11%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1?

Bought Yes at 11%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1?

Bought Yes at 2%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 1?

Bought Yes at 2%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 1?

Sold Yes at 2%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 October 26-November 1?

Sold Yes at 22%
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1?

Sold Yes at 22%
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.