Cosmicfrog has made $964 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #84,181 all time by profit, with 9,455 shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$964
- All-time volume (shares)
- 9,455
- Portfolio value
- $4,822
- Profit this month
- +$713
- Win rate (all 11 settled)
- 73%
How Cosmicfrog has traded
Polymarket lists 11 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 8 (73%) ended in profit and 3 in a loss, for a net +$912 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 59%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 2 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $4,822 together, the biggest is “Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?” (No) at 84% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too. Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Oct 27, 2026
+$295

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$149

Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Oct 27, 2026
+$143

Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Oct 27, 2026
+$126

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Feb 4, 2025
+$110

Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Oct 27, 2026
+$78

Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Oct 27, 2026
+$70

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$5
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Feb 4, 2025
−$43

Celtics vs. Bucks
Bucks · entry 37% · closed Nov 15, 2024
−$10

Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Feb 4, 2025
−$10
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 83%, now 84% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,062
+$62 P&L

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 87%, now 89% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$761
+$13 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 80%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 78%
Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 77%
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 77%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 86%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought No at 87%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
$748

Sold No at 97%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
$753

Bought No at 90%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
$700

Bought Yes at 9%
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
$10

Bought Yes at 32%
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
$43

Bought Bucks at 37%
Celtics vs. Bucks
$10

Bought Yes at 82%
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
$500

Sold Yes at 40%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$40
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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