hog11 is down $10K in realized results on Polymarket, with 1.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$10K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.3M
- Portfolio value
- $1,235
- Profit this month
- +$834
- Win rate (last 203 settled)
- 68%
How hog11 has traded
Polymarket lists 203 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Dec 25, 2025. Of them, 138 (68%) ended in profit and 65 in a loss, for a net −$15K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 81%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. The one position on a market that has not ended, listed below, is “Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?” (Yes), worth $1,235.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (11 of the 203 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$6,681
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$4,013
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?
No · entry 67% · closed Jun 27, 2026
+$2,747
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Jan 19, 2026
+$1,749
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$1,729
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
No · entry 87% · closed Jul 9, 2026
+$1,705
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
No · entry 59% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$1,632
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
No · entry 88% · closed Dec 1, 2025
+$1,571
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Jan 3, 2026
+$1,478
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
No · entry 90% · closed Dec 10, 2025
+$1,455
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).
Lionel Messi: 1+ shots
Yes · entry 92% · market settled, not redeemed
−$14K
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Feb 9, 2026
−$11K
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$10K
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latvia
Germany · entry 72% · closed Feb 16, 2026
−$8,170
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
No · entry 93% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$4,782
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Down · entry 79% · market settled, not redeemed
−$4,079
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Down · entry 79% · market settled, not redeemed
−$1,901
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Jan 19, 2026
−$1,678
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Down · entry 94% · market settled, not redeemed
−$1,557
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$1,432
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 93%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,235
−$13 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 93%
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 89%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Bought Yes at 89%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Bought Yes at 89%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Bought Yes at 89%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Bought Yes at 51%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Sold No at 81%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 55%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
$397
Bought Yes at 54%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
$220
Sold Yes at 46%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$231
Bought Yes at 67%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$337
Bought No at 87%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?
$298
Sold Yes at 27%
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
$309
Bought Yes at 88%
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
$989
Bought Yes at 75%
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
$744
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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