Thibaud

How Thibaud has traded

Polymarket lists 8 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 2 (25%) ended in profit and 6 in a loss, for a net −$53K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 30%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 3 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $23K together, the biggest is “Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?” (Yes) at 49% of that value.

How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (1 of the 8 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

Biggest losses

The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades