Arman2 has made $418 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #125,353 all time by profit, with 3.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$418
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.7M
- Portfolio value
- $4,464
- Profit this month
- +$7,566
- Win rate (last 195 settled)
- 66%
If you had copied Arman2
What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position Arman2 opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.
Last 30 days
$100 → $106
+6% across 110 positions, 65% in profit. Best +$6,879, worst −$2,112.
Last 90 days
$100 → $103
+3% across 261 positions, 63% in profit. Best +$6,879, worst −$2,112.
Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as Arman2, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.
Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)How Arman2 has traded
Polymarket lists 195 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Aug 25, 2026. Of them, 129 (66%) ended in profit and 66 in a loss, for a net +$8,205 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 61%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 9 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $3,132 together, the biggest is “Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?” (Yes) at 35% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too. Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Oct 6, 2026
+$6,879
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Aug 4, 2026
+$3,975
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Yes · entry 97% · closed May 1, 2026
+$3,101
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 41% · closed May 16, 2026
+$2,865
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 37% · closed May 10, 2026
+$2,855
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
No · entry 80% · closed May 16, 2026
+$2,538
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Jun 20, 2026
+$2,300
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
No · entry 62% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$2,289
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
No · entry 60% · closed Oct 6, 2026
+$2,268
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 84% · closed May 4, 2026
+$2,193
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Aug 8, 2026
−$8,455
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 70% · closed May 31, 2026
−$4,399
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Apr 19, 2026
−$3,121
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Jun 20, 2026
−$3,064
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Yes · entry 87% · closed May 12, 2026
−$2,887
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 72% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$2,886
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$2,121
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
No · entry 41% · closed May 12, 2026
−$1,913
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
No · entry 87% · closed May 15, 2026
−$1,821
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
No · entry 76% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$1,796
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?
Yes · entry 21%, now 24% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,096
+$150 P&L
US imports Russian diesel by November 15?
Yes · entry 41%, now 40% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$837
−$18 P&L
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Yes · entry 97%, now 90% · market ended
$820
−$65 P&L
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?
Yes · entry 26%, now 30% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$570
+$70 P&L
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
Yes · entry 17%, now 3% · ended Oct 31, 2026
$445
−$2,138 P&L
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?
Yes · entry 32%, now 40% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$366
+$66 P&L
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 59%, now 32% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$192
−$166 P&L
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 24%, now 1% · ended Oct 31, 2026
$66
−$1,046 P&L
US imports Russian diesel by November 2?
Yes · entry 5%, now 0.7% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27
−$179 P&L
Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between October 26-November 1?
Yes · entry 35%, now 3% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16
−$154 P&L
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 10%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?
Yes · entry 4%, now 0.7% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13
−$61 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 23%
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?
Sold Yes at 42%
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?
Sold Yes at 42%
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?
Bought Yes at 23%
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?
Bought Yes at 50%
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 23%
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?
Bought Yes at 65%
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 79%
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 48%
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 23%
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?
Bought Yes at 40%
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?
Bought Yes at 40%
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?
Bought Yes at 4%
US imports Russian diesel by November 2?
Bought Yes at 4%
US imports Russian diesel by November 2?
Bought Yes at 5%
US imports Russian diesel by November 2?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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