
LlamaLoco0000 has made $325K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #635 all time by profit, with 30M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 2, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$325K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 30M
- Portfolio value
- $1.0M
- Profit this month
- −$90K
- Win rate (last 295 settled)
- 34%
If you had copied LlamaLoco0000
What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position LlamaLoco0000 opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.
Last 90 days
$100 → $93
−7% across 11 positions, 18% in profit. Best +$3,995, worst −$28K.
Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as LlamaLoco0000, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.
Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)How LlamaLoco0000 has traded
Polymarket lists 295 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Dec 27, 2025. Of them, 100 (34%) ended in profit and 195 in a loss, for a net +$469K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 30%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 15 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $1.0M together, the biggest is “Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?” (No) at 43% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (98 of the 295 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$587K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 34% · closed May 8, 2026
+$202K

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Jun 17, 2026
+$71K

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
No · entry 9% · closed May 26, 2026
+$69K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$65K

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$56K

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Nov 4, 2025
+$51K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$47K

Biden drops out of presidential race?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 22, 2024
+$46K

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$44K
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$99K

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Aug 23, 2026
−$70K

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$63K

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No · entry 47% · market settled, not redeemed
−$52K
Will XRP reach $4.00 in August?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Sep 9, 2025
−$51K

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Aug 23, 2026
−$43K

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Dec 3, 2025
−$41K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$38K

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Yes · entry 13% · market settled, not redeemed
−$37K

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Yes · entry 14% · market settled, not redeemed
−$36K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 90%, now 84% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$432K
−$28K P&L

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 60%, now 60% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$276K
−$2,989 P&L

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes · entry 31%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$55K
−$41K P&L

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 11%, now 12% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$51K
+$812 P&L

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 23%, now 12% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$38K
−$38K P&L

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 39%, now 11% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$35K
−$85K P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 20%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$34K
−$7,050 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes · entry 21%, now 5% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
−$79K P&L

Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 25%, now 7% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
−$52K P&L

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 6%, now 9% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$3,995 P&L

China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Yes · entry 11%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
−$29K P&L

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Yes · entry 62%, now 79% · ends Jan 20, 2029
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,606
+$2,019 P&L

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes · entry 7%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,141
−$3,265 P&L

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Yes · entry 7%, now 2% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,042
−$6,035 P&L

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Yes · entry 17%, now 2% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,885
−$18K P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 12%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 13%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 13%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 12%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 5%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 4%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought No at 82%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 5%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 5%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 5%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 5%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 5%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 5%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 5%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 5%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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