avafan is down $278 in realized results on Polymarket, with 32K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$278
- All-time volume (shares)
- 32K
- Portfolio value
- $1,642
- Profit this month
- +$2
- Win rate (all 31 settled)
- 65%
How avafan has traded
Polymarket lists 31 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 20 (65%) ended in profit and 11 in a loss, for a net −$278 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 64%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too. Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 69% · closed Mar 27, 2026
+$557
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
No · entry 89% · closed Oct 10, 2025
+$245
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Jun 2, 2025
+$166
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$84
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?
Yes · entry 82% · closed May 31, 2025
+$71
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 46% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$54
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No · entry 83% · closed Sep 17, 2026
+$52
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Sep 9, 2025
+$50
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
No · entry 35% · closed Jun 2, 2025
+$50
UEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance)
Tottenham · entry 80% · closed May 9, 2025
+$40
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 63% · closed May 21, 2025
−$746
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?
Yes · entry 21% · closed May 21, 2025
−$365
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
No · entry 82% · closed May 21, 2025
−$291
Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Jun 1, 2025
−$171
Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 72% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$72
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?
Yes · entry 21% · closed May 21, 2025
−$63
Will Trump visit Saudi Arabia before July?
No · entry 2% · closed May 13, 2025
−$40
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$37
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 87% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$22
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Yes · entry 1% · closed May 31, 2025
−$5
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$1,642
+$11 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 97%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought No at 97%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought No at 97%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought No at 97%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought No at 97%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought No at 97%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought No at 97%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought No at 97%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought No at 97%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Bought No at 97%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Sold No at 95%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
$426
Sold Yes at 93%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
$440
Bought No at 78%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
$3
Bought No at 79%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
$158
Bought Yes at 78%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
$109
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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