-Guapo--
0x8725…eb10 · Joined December 20, 2024
-Guapo-- is down $190K in realized results on Polymarket, with 9.8M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 2, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$190K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 9.8M
- Portfolio value
- $13K
- Profit this month
- −$44K
- Win rate (last 394 settled)
- 49%
If you had copied -Guapo--
What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position -Guapo-- opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.
Last 30 days
$100 → $93
−7% across 606 positions, 48% in profit. Best +$5,846, worst −$3,500.
Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as -Guapo--, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.
Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)How -Guapo-- has traded
Polymarket lists 394 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Oct 17, 2026. Of them, 193 (49%) ended in profit and 201 in a loss, for a net −$25K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 49%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 286 of the 394 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 15 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $11K together, the biggest is “Will Bilibili Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?” (No) at 23% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (195 of the 394 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
England · entry 52% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$11K

LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
GIANTX · entry 24% · closed May 10, 2026
+$9,363

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
T1 · entry 32% · closed Sep 2, 2026
+$7,641

LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 4 Winner
Dplus KIA Challengers · entry 45% · closed Sep 14, 2026
+$7,343

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner
Team WE · entry 19% · closed May 30, 2026
+$7,114

LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
KT Rolster · entry 36% · closed Aug 30, 2026
+$7,112

LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
Sentinels · entry 27% · closed Aug 17, 2026
+$6,846

Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
paiN · entry 29% · closed May 13, 2026
+$6,808

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner
Shifters · entry 38% · closed Jul 31, 2026
+$6,718

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Team Yandex · entry 35% · closed Jun 6, 2026
+$6,709
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming · entry 72% · closed Aug 22, 2026
−$14K

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 50% · market settled, not redeemed
−$13K

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
LGD Gaming · entry 67% · closed May 28, 2026
−$13K

Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 37% · market settled, not redeemed
−$6,489

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
Astralis · entry 52% · market settled, not redeemed
−$6,310

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 45% · market settled, not redeemed
−$6,288

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Natus Vincere · entry 63% · closed Sep 27, 2026
−$6,147

Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
No · entry 67% · market settled, not redeemed
−$5,685

Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?
Under · entry 48% · market settled, not redeemed
−$5,594

Champions League Final: 3+ goals?
No · entry 46% · closed Jun 1, 2025
−$5,432
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Bilibili Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?
No · entry 69%, now 68% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,576
−$75 P&L

Will Everton be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
No · entry 90%, now 96% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,295
+$83 P&L

Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?
No · entry 88%, now 72% · ends Dec 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,209
−$279 P&L

Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
Invictus Gaming · entry 34%, now 34% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,119
−$17 P&L

Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?
No · entry 84%, now 96% · ends Jun 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$849
+$111 P&L

Will Chengdu Rongcheng win Chinese Super League?
Yes · entry 86%, now 70% · ends Dec 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$807
−$179 P&L

Will Dplus KIA Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?
No · entry 69%, now 82% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$652
+$99 P&L

Will Wuhan Three Towns be relegated from the 2026 Chinese Super League?
Yes · entry 93%, now >99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$461
+$28 P&L

Will Henan be relegated from the 2026 Chinese Super League?
No · entry 95%, now >99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$445
+$19 P&L

Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?
No · entry 48%, now 21% · ends Dec 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$443
−$589 P&L

Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 92% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$407
+$13 P&L

Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
No · entry 84%, now 79% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$346
−$24 P&L

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 15%, now 10% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$306
−$183 P&L

Will Cagliari be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?
No · entry 90%, now 88% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$262
−$5 P&L

Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
No · entry 67%, now 53% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$232
−$64 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bought Nemiga Gaming at 12%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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