Reckless-Estrogen-Competence
0x8314…0b88 · Joined October 19, 2026
Reckless-Estrogen-Competence has made $8,539 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #17,341 all time by profit, with 310K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 2, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$8,539
- All-time volume (shares)
- 310K
- Portfolio value
- $120K
- Profit this month
- +$24K
- Win rate (all 47 settled)
- 72%
If you had copied Reckless-Estrogen-Competence
What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position Reckless-Estrogen-Competence opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.
Last 30 days
$100 → $116
+16% across 334 positions, 76% in profit. Best +$2,076, worst −$489.
Last 90 days
$100 → $116
+16% across 334 positions, 76% in profit. Best +$2,076, worst −$489.
Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as Reckless-Estrogen-Competence, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.
Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)How Reckless-Estrogen-Competence has traded
Polymarket lists 47 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 34 (72%) ended in profit and 13 in a loss, for a net +$2,472 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 42%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 31 of the 47 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 15 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $60K together, the biggest is “Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?” (Yes) at 16% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (7 of the 47 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$659

Will Quillan Salkilld fight Mauricio Ruffy next?
No · entry 84% · closed Oct 30, 2026
+$405

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$298

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 30%-35%?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Oct 31, 2026
+$260

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 15%-20%?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Nov 2, 2026
+$235

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?
No · entry 69% · closed Oct 30, 2026
+$193

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 46% · closed Oct 28, 2026
+$190

Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 30, 2026
+$169

Will DJ Snake attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$161

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Nov 2, 2026
+$154
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?
No · entry 70% · market settled, not redeemed
−$489

Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?
No · entry 49% · market settled, not redeemed
−$460

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?
No · entry 71% · closed Oct 26, 2026
−$178

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 30%-35%?
No · entry 83% · closed Nov 2, 2026
−$163

Will Jagrup Brar win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
Yes · entry 38% · market settled, not redeemed
−$130

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%?
No · entry 62% · closed Nov 2, 2026
−$82

Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 26?
Yes · entry 13% · market settled, not redeemed
−$39

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 40%-45%?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Nov 2, 2026
−$29

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 30%-35%?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Nov 1, 2026
−$26

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Yes · entry 5% · market settled, not redeemed
−$25
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
Yes · entry 79%, now 95% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,679
+$1,648 P&L

Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 92% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,475
+$566 P&L

Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 81%, now 88% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,152
+$485 P&L

Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?
Yes · entry 86%, now 95% · ends Apr 16, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,363
+$407 P&L

Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
No · entry 78%, now 88% · ends Mar 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,171
+$461 P&L

Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?
Yes · entry 95%, now 99% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,885
+$162 P&L

Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No · entry 76%, now 94% · ends Mar 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,271
+$613 P&L

Will PP win the most seats in Ciudad Real in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Yes · entry 84%, now 93% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,206
+$318 P&L

Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No · entry 76%, now 95% · ends Mar 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,088
+$603 P&L

Will "Coward" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No · entry 71%, now 85% · ends Mar 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,869
+$456 P&L

Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 82%, now 95% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,760
+$384 P&L

Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?
Yes · entry 86%, now 91% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,402
+$142 P&L

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?
Yes · entry 66%, now 86% · ends Jun 7, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,334
+$541 P&L

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?
Yes · entry 71%, now 92% · ends Jun 7, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,093
+$479 P&L

Will "Ink" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
No · entry 77%, now 87% · ends Mar 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,868
+$209 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 0%-5%?

Sold No at 79%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?

Bought Yes at 12%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 25%-30%?

Bought Yes at 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 25%-30%?

Sold Yes at 30%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%?

Bought Yes at 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 25%-30%?

Bought Yes at 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 20%-25%?

Bought Yes at 9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 10%-20%?

Sold No at 85%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 15%-20%?

Sold No at 84%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 15%-20%?

Bought Yes at 14%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 25%-30%?

Bought Yes at 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 15%-20%?

Bought No at 72%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 15%-20%?

Bought Yes at 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 15%-20%?

Bought Yes at 13%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 60%-65%?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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