Red-Girlfriend
0x7b64…8440 · Joined March 25, 2026
Red-Girlfriend is down $1,646 in realized results on Polymarket, with 228K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 31, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1,646
- All-time volume (shares)
- 228K
- Portfolio value
- $687
- Profit this month
- −$296
- Win rate (last 210 settled)
- 38%
If you had copied Red-Girlfriend
What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position Red-Girlfriend opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.
Last 30 days
$100 → $95
−5% across 111 positions, 31% in profit. Best +$3, worst −$34.
Last 90 days
$100 → $96
−4% across 493 positions, 44% in profit. Best +$22, worst −$40.
Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as Red-Girlfriend, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.
Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)How Red-Girlfriend has traded
Polymarket lists 210 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Sep 16, 2026. Of them, 79 (38%) ended in profit and 131 in a loss, for a net −$185 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 67%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 14 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $398 together, the biggest is “Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?” (No) at 20% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (16 of the 210 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Apr 9, 2026
+$923

US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Apr 9, 2026
+$796

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$221

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$191

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 95% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$62

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$42

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Yes · entry 56% · closed May 1, 2026
+$39

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 10, 2026
+$37

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
No · entry 70% · closed Jul 10, 2026
+$35

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 99% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$29
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$1,415

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$796

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$349

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Yes · entry 71% · closed May 1, 2026
−$273

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$82

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Yes · entry 50% · closed May 1, 2026
−$76

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Aug 19, 2026
−$74

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jun 19, 2026
−$60

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes · entry 21% · market settled, not redeemed
−$51

US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Apr 5, 2026
−$50
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No · entry 77%, now 77% · ends Jan 1, 2030

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No · entry 81%, now 78% · ends Jan 1, 2030

Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No · entry 75%, now 70% · ends Jan 1, 2030

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 49%, now 47% · market ended
$31
−$1 P&L

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No · entry 74%, now 70% · ends Jan 1, 2029

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 31%, now 30% · ends Jan 1, 2028

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
No · entry 97%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 70% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 91%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2028

Will Kyle Busch rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?
No · entry 53%, now 64% · ends Dec 31, 2026

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 8%, now 12% · ends Nov 8, 2028

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2028

MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Yes · entry 78%, now 51% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 8%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 97%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Sold No at 89%
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Sold Yes at 23%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?

Sold Yes at 9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Sold No at 62%
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Sold Yes at 81%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Sold Yes at 4%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Sold No at 81%
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 95%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Sold No at 93%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Sold No at 88%
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 94%
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

Sold No at 93%
Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Sold No at 95%
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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