poptree has made $348K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #599 all time by profit, with 18M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$348K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 18M
- Portfolio value
- $48K
- Profit this month
- +$14K
- Win rate (last 222 settled)
- 72%
If you had copied poptree
What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position poptree opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.
Last 90 days
$100 → $112
+12% across 14 positions, 50% in profit. Best +$12K, worst −$564.
Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as poptree, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.
Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)How poptree has traded
Polymarket lists 222 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Jul 4, 2025. Of them, 159 (72%) ended in profit and 63 in a loss, for a net +$148K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 62%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 112 of the 222 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 6 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $48K together, the biggest is “Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?” (Yes) at 45% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (26 of the 222 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Aug 6, 2024
+$71K

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jul 23, 2024
+$23K

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Jul 16, 2024
+$19K

Biden drops out in July?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Jul 21, 2024
+$16K

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Jul 4, 2025
+$16K

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
No · entry 82% · closed Jul 2, 2025
+$15K

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
No · entry 26% · closed Feb 22, 2025
+$14K

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Aug 6, 2024
+$14K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$14K

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$12K
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$40K

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
No · entry 92% · closed Aug 6, 2024
−$25K

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
No · entry 38% · closed Jul 4, 2025
−$21K

Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$17K

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$16K

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Mar 18, 2025
−$9,744

Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Nov 15, 2024
−$9,420

Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Dec 17, 2024
−$7,339

Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Aug 6, 2024
−$7,255

Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Aug 6, 2024
−$7,255
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 71%, now 71% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
−$154 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 71%, now 70% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
−$300 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
No · entry 32%, now 37% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,745
+$585 P&L

Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Yes · entry 81%, now 80% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,309
−$62 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 30%, now 37% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,376
+$424 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 38%, now 34% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,010
−$270 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 81%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?

Bought No at 32%
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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