Elementary-Gold
0x4543…93e2 · Joined February 13, 2026
Elementary-Gold has made $5,706 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #23,427 all time by profit, with 572K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 9, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$5,706
- All-time volume (shares)
- 572K
- Portfolio value
- $9,474
- Profit this month
- +$1,831
- Win rate (all 26 settled)
- 50%
How Elementary-Gold has traded
Polymarket lists 26 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 13 (50%) ended in profit and 13 in a loss, for a net +$5,706 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 15%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 3 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $9,474 together, the biggest is “Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?” (No) at 49% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (11 of the 26 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$2,730
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$2,160
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$591
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$530
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Jun 30, 2026
+$210
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Jun 25, 2026
+$200
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$140
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Jul 10, 2026
+$55
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?
No · entry 40% · closed Jun 16, 2026
+$27
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jun 27, 2026
+$20
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?
No · entry 74% · market settled, not redeemed
−$740
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in March?
Yes · entry 3% · market settled, not redeemed
−$90
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in February?
Yes · entry 2% · market settled, not redeemed
−$54
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?
Yes · entry 1% · market settled, not redeemed
−$30
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?
No · entry 2% · market settled, not redeemed
−$22
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?
Yes · entry 1% · market settled, not redeemed
−$10
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in March?
Yes · entry 0.5% · market settled, not redeemed
−$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.4% · market settled, not redeemed
−$6
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
No · entry 0.5% · market settled, not redeemed
−$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.2% · market settled, not redeemed
−$5
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No · entry 87%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,632
−$285 P&L
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No · entry 70%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,670
+$570 P&L
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No · entry 36%, now 79% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,173
+$1,183 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 44%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 44%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 60%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 51%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 0.6%
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Bought No at 0.5%
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Sold No at 3%
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
$22
Bought No at 70%
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$26
Bought No at 70%
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$302
Sold No at 3%
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
$9
Bought No at 70%
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$46
Bought No at 70%
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$35
Bought No at 70%
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$42
Bought No at 70%
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$1,649
Sold No at 3%
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
$0
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.