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Loyalty-Crash

0x44d9…4c1a · Joined April 24, 2022

#2,300 all time#1,070 this monthView on Polymarket

Loyalty-Crash has made $85K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,300 all time by profit, with 1.4M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$85K
All-time volume (shares)
1.4M
Portfolio value
$153K
Profit this month
+$17K
Win rate (all 180 settled)
51%

If you had copied Loyalty-Crash

What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position Loyalty-Crash opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.

Last 30 days

$100 → $109

+9% across 23 positions, 83% in profit. Best +$1,461, worst −$99.

Last 90 days

$100 → $109

+9% across 23 positions, 83% in profit. Best +$1,461, worst −$99.

Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as Loyalty-Crash, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.

Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)

How Loyalty-Crash has traded

Polymarket lists 180 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 92 (51%) ended in profit and 88 in a loss, for a net +$85K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 51%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 80 of the 180 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 14 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $135K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House” (Yes) at 32% of that value.

How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (7 of the 180 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

  • Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 28% · closed Dec 20, 2024

    +$28K

  • Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 46% · closed Nov 7, 2024

    +$27K

  • Trump wins every swing state?

    Yes · entry 25% · closed Nov 10, 2024

    +$22K

  • Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

    No · entry 69% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    +$19K

  • Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?

    Yes · entry 75% · closed May 4, 2022

    +$8,778

  • [Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

    Yes · entry 66% · closed Aug 6, 2024

    +$6,938

  • Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich?

    Yes · entry 69% · closed Aug 13, 2023

    +$6,259

  • Will Grune receive more than 14% of votes?

    No · entry 50% · closed Jun 10, 2024

    +$5,270

  • US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

    No · entry 79% · closed Apr 1, 2026

    +$4,672

  • zkSync airdrop by April?

    No · entry 53% · closed May 27, 2024

    +$4,428

Biggest losses

The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

  • Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?

    Republican · entry 41% · closed Apr 5, 2023

    −$16K

  • Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

    Yes · entry 77% · closed Aug 9, 2024

    −$15K

  • Biden drops out of presidential race?

    No · entry 67% · closed Aug 6, 2024

    −$7,310

  • Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

    No · entry 18% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$7,267

  • Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona?

    Republican · entry 30% · closed Apr 5, 2023

    −$5,065

  • North Korea missile test by July 31?

    No · entry 51% · closed Aug 10, 2023

    −$4,845

  • Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%

    Yes · entry 65% · closed Mar 1, 2024

    −$4,316

  • Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania?

    Republican · entry 38% · closed Apr 5, 2023

    −$4,250

  • Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

    Yes · entry 45% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$4,030

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

    No · entry 64% · closed Apr 8, 2026

    −$3,353

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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