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Vilgefortz

0x3c91…9af7 · Joined June 10, 2024

#558 all time#782 this monthView on Polymarket

Vilgefortz has made $377K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #558 all time by profit, with 19M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 31, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$377K
All-time volume (shares)
19M
Portfolio value
$405K
Profit this month
+$24K
Win rate (last 196 settled)
81%

If you had copied Vilgefortz

What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position Vilgefortz opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.

Last 30 days

$100 → $99

−1% across 15 positions, 67% in profit. Best +$91K, worst −$91K.

Last 90 days

$100 → $104

+4% across 31 positions, 71% in profit. Best +$91K, worst −$91K.

Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as Vilgefortz, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.

Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)

How Vilgefortz has traded

Polymarket lists 196 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Jul 1, 2025. Of them, 159 (81%) ended in profit and 37 in a loss, for a net +$332K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 78%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 15 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $401K together, the biggest is “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” (No) at 56% of that value.

How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too. Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 55% · closed Dec 10, 2025

    +$99K

  • Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 72% · closed Sep 16, 2026

    +$45K

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 89% · closed Oct 28, 2026

    +$35K

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

    Yes · entry 27% · closed Sep 19, 2024

    +$33K

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 90% · closed Sep 17, 2025

    +$26K

  • Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by Monday?

    No · entry 14% · closed Feb 4, 2025

    +$24K

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

    No · entry 85% · closed Sep 16, 2026

    +$22K

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

    Yes · entry 80% · closed Dec 18, 2024

    +$21K

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 86% · closed Oct 30, 2025

    +$19K

  • Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 50% · closed Nov 6, 2024

    +$16K

Biggest losses

The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 29% · closed May 7, 2025

    −$27K

  • U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?

    No · entry 48% · closed Mar 19, 2025

    −$25K

  • Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?

    No · entry 66% · closed May 26, 2025

    −$24K

  • US military action against Iran by Saturday?

    No · entry 93% · closed Jun 22, 2025

    −$19K

  • Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 25-Mar 3?

    Yes · entry 54% · closed Mar 4, 2025

    −$16K

  • US-China trade deal before June?

    No · entry 77% · closed May 12, 2025

    −$14K

  • US military action against Iran by Sunday?

    No · entry 91% · closed Jun 22, 2025

    −$12K

  • Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?

    No · entry 94% · closed Jan 20, 2025

    −$12K

  • Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?

    Yes · entry 34% · closed May 1, 2025

    −$12K

  • Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

    Yes · entry 75% · closed Aug 6, 2024

    −$8,642

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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