Haradwaith
0x21ff…0d71 · Joined November 5, 2024
Haradwaith is down $381K in realized results on Polymarket, with 142M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$381K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 142M
- Portfolio value
- $365K
- Profit this month
- +$4,950
- Win rate (last 197 settled)
- 56%
How Haradwaith has traded
Polymarket lists 197 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Nov 1, 2026. Of them, 111 (56%) ended in profit and 86 in a loss, for a net +$2,539 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 47%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 104 of the 197 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 15 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $33K together, the biggest is “Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 10% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (3 of the 197 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 27, 2026
+$19K
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 27, 2026
+$13K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$5,786
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Oct 30, 2026
+$5,687
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$5,009
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 27, 2026
+$4,951
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$3,945
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$3,693
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$3,627
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$3,399
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 86% · closed Sep 23, 2026
−$9,026
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 69% · closed Mar 6, 2026
−$4,553
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 92% · closed Oct 27, 2026
−$4,431
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Aug 31, 2026
−$4,297
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 67% · closed Sep 23, 2026
−$4,186
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 17, 2026
−$3,696
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 70% · closed Oct 26, 2026
−$3,645
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 62% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$3,420
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$3,364
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed May 17, 2026
−$3,358
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,469
−$44 P&L
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
No · entry 71%, now 69% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,818
−$123 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 77%, now 73% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,704
−$163 P&L
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
No · entry 65%, now 67% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,674
+$86 P&L
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 98%, now 97% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,546
−$18 P&L
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
No · entry 79%, now 78% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,225
−$51 P&L
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
No · entry 74%, now 76% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,139
+$48 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?
Yes · entry 85%, now 85% · ends Nov 7, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,061
−$12 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 72%, now 72% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,907
−$3 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 73%, now 71% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,849
−$72 P&L
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 42%, now 38% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,822
−$183 P&L
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 90%, now 88% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,755
−$45 P&L
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 89%, now 87% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,736
−$37 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,703
+$3 P&L
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 90%, now 90% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,671
−$11 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 33%
Will Axis launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Sold Yes at 81%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?
Sold No at >99%
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Bought No at 77%
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?
Sold Yes at 37%
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 36%
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 3%
Will Maria Pappas win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
Bought No at 28%
Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Bought No at 28%
Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Bought No at 28%
Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Bought No at 28%
Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Sold Yes at 97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2?
Sold Yes at 97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2?
Sold Yes at 97%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Sold No at 88%
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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