PolBandit has made $24K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #6,944 all time by profit, with 2.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 13, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$24K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.6M
- Portfolio value
- $144K
- Profit this month
- −$137
- Win rate (all 85 settled)
- 87%
How PolBandit has traded
Polymarket lists 85 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 74 (87%) ended in profit and 11 in a loss, for a net +$25K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 89%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 7 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $144K together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 52% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (7 of the 85 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
No · entry 83% · closed Apr 4, 2026
+$27K
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
No · entry 91% · closed May 2, 2026
+$10K
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Jun 13, 2026
+$6,961
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No · entry 79% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$5,932
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 81% · closed Jun 22, 2026
+$5,278
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No · entry 92% · closed Sep 9, 2026
+$4,558
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
No · entry 97% · closed Jan 2, 2026
+$2,783
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No · entry 79% · closed Jun 23, 2026
+$2,574
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$2,418
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$2,307
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Yes · entry 96% · market settled, not redeemed
−$33K
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
No · entry 95% · market settled, not redeemed
−$16K
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Yes · entry 82% · market settled, not redeemed
−$13K
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
No · entry 92% · closed Mar 21, 2026
−$10K
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Yes · entry 79% · market settled, not redeemed
−$5,907
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$872
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Yes · entry 13% · market settled, not redeemed
−$836
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Yes · entry 96% · market settled, not redeemed
−$571
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
Yes · entry 5% · market settled, not redeemed
−$111
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$57
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 85%, now 95% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$75K
+$7,214 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 95% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$35K
+$921 P&L
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 75%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
−$114 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 87% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,996
−$242 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 80%, now 85% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,780
+$425 P&L
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 3%, now 2% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$413
−$278 P&L
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 1%, now 0.5% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20
−$32 P&L
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 54%, now 44% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$18
−$4 P&L
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 62%, now <0.1% · ended Nov 4, 2026
$7
−$8,274 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 89%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Sold Yes at 45%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$346
Sold Yes at 45%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$554
Bought No at 92%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,196
Sold Yes at 42%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$1,215
Bought No at 92%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$33K
Sold Yes at 45%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$434
Sold Yes at 37%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$446
Bought Yes at 75%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
$17K
Bought Yes at 99%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
$28K
Bought Yes at 98%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
$9
Bought Yes at 98%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
$1
Bought Yes at 98%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
$40
Sold Yes at 37%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$649
Bought Yes at 98%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
$20
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.