
pmtosat- is down $35K in realized results on Polymarket, with 814K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 31, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$35K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 814K
- Portfolio value
- $34K
- Profit this month
- +$5,990
- Win rate (last 238 settled)
- 75%
If you had copied pmtosat-
What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position pmtosat- opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.
Last 90 days
$100 → $90
−10% across 58 positions, 64% in profit. Best +$10K, worst −$15K.
Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as pmtosat-, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.
Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)How pmtosat- has traded
Polymarket lists 238 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Feb 4, 2026. Of them, 178 (75%) ended in profit and 60 in a loss, for a net −$30K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 74%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 8 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $34K together, the biggest is “Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 38% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (41 of the 238 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

Spread: Bears (-3.5)
Bears · entry 49% · closed Oct 4, 2026
+$10K

Will Trump visit China by April 30?
No · entry 9% · closed May 1, 2026
+$3,521

Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?
No · entry 69% · closed Jan 26, 2026
+$2,910

Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
No · entry 57% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$2,137

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Argentina · entry 46% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$2,029

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Aug 13, 2026
+$1,991

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Jun 13, 2026
+$1,620

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
France · entry 77% · closed Jul 9, 2026
+$1,425

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Aug 13, 2026
+$1,408

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$1,350
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Mexico · entry 48% · market settled, not redeemed
−$18K

Spread: Rams (-1.5)
Rams · entry 48% · market settled, not redeemed
−$15K

Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
Bengals · entry 47% · market settled, not redeemed
−$10K

Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
No · entry 40% · closed Jan 26, 2026
−$5,444

Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?
No · entry 58% · closed Jan 26, 2026
−$4,310

Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)
Seahawks · entry 48% · market settled, not redeemed
−$4,218

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
France · entry 56% · market settled, not redeemed
−$3,079

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Yes · entry 91% · market settled, not redeemed
−$2,821

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 41% · market settled, not redeemed
−$2,060

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Yes · entry 40% · market settled, not redeemed
−$1,948
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$719 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now >99% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,522
+$308 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 32%, now 30% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,879
−$305 P&L

Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 95% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,780
+$297 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 31%, now 30% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,692
−$169 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 69%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,439
−$105 P&L

Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes · entry 13%, now 4% · ends Mar 14, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15
−$38 P&L

Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
Yes · entry 10%, now 10% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 69%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Bought Thunder at 65%
Thunder vs. Mavericks

Bought Arizona State at 84%
Spread: Kansas State (-13.5)

Sold Yes at 98%
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 98%
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 98%
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?

Bought Rams at 74%
Cardinals vs. Rams

Bought Bills at 48%
Spread: Bills (-6.5)

Bought Bills at 48%
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.