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WhaleSays

Grisk

0x0371…92bb · Joined October 16, 2024

#3,240,997 all time#615,939 this monthView on Polymarket

Grisk is down $584K in realized results on Polymarket, with 2.3M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$584K
All-time volume (shares)
2.3M
Portfolio value
$3,964
Profit this month
−$38
Win rate (all 20 settled)
45%

How Grisk has traded

Polymarket lists 20 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 9 (45%) ended in profit and 11 in a loss, for a net −$584K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 54%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 13 of the 20 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 2 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $3,964 together, the biggest is “Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?” (Yes) at 96% of that value.

How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (5 of the 20 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

  • Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?

    No · entry 59% · closed Nov 12, 2024

    +$5,690

  • Buccaneers vs. Lions

    Lions · entry 70% · closed Oct 21, 2025

    +$3,960

  • Bills vs. Jaguars

    Bills · entry 51% · closed May 27, 2026

    +$1,921

  • Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 63% · closed Nov 6, 2024

    +$1,054

  • Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    No · entry 58% · closed Nov 7, 2024

    +$864

  • Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall

    Marshall · entry 81% · closed Sep 13, 2026

    +$863

  • Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 34% · closed Nov 9, 2024

    +$675

  • Tulsa vs. Sam Houston

    Tulsa · entry 78% · closed Sep 13, 2026

    +$404

  • Iowa State vs. Iowa

    Iowa · entry 86% · closed Sep 13, 2026

    +$255

Biggest losses

The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

  • Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

    No · entry 65% · closed Nov 12, 2024

    −$291K

  • Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

    Yes · entry 65% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$210K

  • Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    No · entry 40% · closed Nov 7, 2024

    −$47K

  • Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?

    No · entry 34% · closed Nov 12, 2024

    −$22K

  • Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 38% · closed Nov 12, 2024

    −$7,786

  • Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

    No · entry 15% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$7,760

  • Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

    Yes · entry 15% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$5,816

  • Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?

    Yes · entry 39% · closed Nov 12, 2024

    −$3,900

  • Cardinals vs. Chargers

    Chargers · entry 70% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$2,740

  • Cardinals vs. Buccaneers

    Cardinals · entry 38% · market settled, not redeemed

    −$2,394

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

  • Bought Yes at 49%

    Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

  • Bought No at 3%

    Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

  • Bought Chargers at 70%

    Cardinals vs. Chargers

    $2,700

  • Bought Marshall at 80%

    Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall

    $1,000

  • Bought Tulsa at 73%

    Tulsa vs. Sam Houston

    $700

  • Bought Marshall at 78%

    Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall

    $1,000

  • Bought Tulsa at 82%

    Tulsa vs. Sam Houston

    $734

  • Bought Iowa at 85%

    Iowa State vs. Iowa

    $1,500

  • Bought Marshall at 82%

    Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall

    $1,655

  • Bought Bills at 51%

    Bills vs. Jaguars

    $1,999

  • Bought Cardinals at 38%

    Cardinals vs. Buccaneers

    $2,394

  • Bought Yes at 14%

    Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

    $140

  • Bought Yes at 14%

    Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

    $4

  • Bought Yes at 14%

    Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

    $3

  • Bought Yes at 14%

    Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

    $3

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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