Grisk is down $584K in realized results on Polymarket, with 2.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 1, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$584K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.3M
- Portfolio value
- $3,964
- Profit this month
- −$38
- Win rate (all 20 settled)
- 45%
How Grisk has traded
Polymarket lists 20 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 9 (45%) ended in profit and 11 in a loss, for a net −$584K in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 54%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 13 of the 20 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 2 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $3,964 together, the biggest is “Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?” (Yes) at 96% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (5 of the 20 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
No · entry 59% · closed Nov 12, 2024
+$5,690

Buccaneers vs. Lions
Lions · entry 70% · closed Oct 21, 2025
+$3,960

Bills vs. Jaguars
Bills · entry 51% · closed May 27, 2026
+$1,921

Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$1,054

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 58% · closed Nov 7, 2024
+$864

Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall
Marshall · entry 81% · closed Sep 13, 2026
+$863

Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Nov 9, 2024
+$675

Tulsa vs. Sam Houston
Tulsa · entry 78% · closed Sep 13, 2026
+$404

Iowa State vs. Iowa
Iowa · entry 86% · closed Sep 13, 2026
+$255
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
No · entry 65% · closed Nov 12, 2024
−$291K

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Yes · entry 65% · market settled, not redeemed
−$210K

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 40% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$47K

Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
No · entry 34% · closed Nov 12, 2024
−$22K

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Nov 12, 2024
−$7,786

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
No · entry 15% · market settled, not redeemed
−$7,760

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Yes · entry 15% · market settled, not redeemed
−$5,816

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Nov 12, 2024
−$3,900

Cardinals vs. Chargers
Chargers · entry 70% · market settled, not redeemed
−$2,740

Cardinals vs. Buccaneers
Cardinals · entry 38% · market settled, not redeemed
−$2,394
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 49%, now 48% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,798
−$120 P&L

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
No · entry 3%, now 2% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$166
−$41 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 49%
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 3%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Bought Chargers at 70%
Cardinals vs. Chargers
$2,700

Bought Marshall at 80%
Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall
$1,000

Bought Tulsa at 73%
Tulsa vs. Sam Houston
$700

Bought Marshall at 78%
Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall
$1,000

Bought Tulsa at 82%
Tulsa vs. Sam Houston
$734

Bought Iowa at 85%
Iowa State vs. Iowa
$1,500

Bought Marshall at 82%
Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall
$1,655

Bought Bills at 51%
Bills vs. Jaguars
$1,999

Bought Cardinals at 38%
Cardinals vs. Buccaneers
$2,394

Bought Yes at 14%
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
$140

Bought Yes at 14%
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
$4

Bought Yes at 14%
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
$3

Bought Yes at 14%
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
$3
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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