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Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Live odds

Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 3% and No at 97% for “Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026” (Yes +0.1 pts in the last 24 hours).

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Chance of Yes over the last 30 days

Price of a Yes share.

Sep 26Oct 26

Yes and No odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026” is a Polymarket market with two outcomes. Yes is priced at 3% and No at 97%; Yes is up 0.1 points over the last 24 hours and down 0.2 points over the past week. Traders have put $771K through the market so far, including $33 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 3% (decimal odds 33.90, American +3290) and No at 97% (decimal odds 1.03, American −3290). The price of a Yes share is the market's implied probability that this happens.
When does this market close?
The listed end date is January 1, 2027. Read the resolution rules on this page to see what counts and who decides.

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