RealKeyserSoze
0xaddb…4f44 · Joined October 13, 2024
RealKeyserSoze has made $2,599 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #42,884 all time by profit, with 169K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Sep 15, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$2,599
- All-time volume (shares)
- 169K
- Portfolio value
- $6,385
- Profit this month
- +$39
- Win rate (last 93 closed)
- 71%
How RealKeyserSoze has traded
Across all 93 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 66 (71%) ended in profit and 27 in a loss, for +$2,629 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 72%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $6,385 together, the biggest is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” (No) at 52% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US recession in 2025?
No · entry 95% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$1,142
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
No · entry 69% · closed Dec 1, 2025
+$1,077
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
No · entry 93% · closed Feb 4, 2025
+$855
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
Yes · entry 66% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$708
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
No · entry 61% · closed May 17, 2025
+$582
Maduro out in 2025?
No · entry 85% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$552
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
No · entry 93% · closed Sep 17, 2025
+$219
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
No · entry 47% · closed Jan 5, 2026
+$194
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 96% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$128
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
No · entry 86% · closed Mar 10, 2025
+$113
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Nov 2, 2025
−$963
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Apr 30, 2025
−$644
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
No · entry 52% · closed May 1, 2025
−$627
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Yes · entry 52% · closed May 1, 2025
−$561
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No · entry 51% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$394
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
No · entry 74% · closed Apr 30, 2025
−$273
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 46% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$152
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 74% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$102
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Jan 5, 2026
−$72
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
No · entry 83% · closed Apr 5, 2026
−$69
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,323
+$446 P&L
AI bubble burst in 2026?
No · entry 85%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,062
+$174 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 90%
AI bubble burst in 2026?
$952
Bought No at 14%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
$60
Sold No at 7%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$62
Sold No at 97%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$968
Bought No at 38%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$94
Bought No at 38%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$100
Sold No at 96%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$100
Sold No at 96%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$100
Bought No at 84%
AI bubble burst in 2026?
$1,060
Bought No at 53%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$100
Sold No at 94%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
$1,172
Bought Yes at 11%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
$10
Sold No at 95%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$2
Sold Yes at 21%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
$8
Bought No at 84%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$51
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.