enrico-vasaio has made $23K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #7,037 all time by profit, with 2.9M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$23K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.9M
- Portfolio value
- $205K
- Profit this month
- +$2,163
- Win rate (last 196 closed)
- 63%
How enrico-vasaio has traded
Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 123 (63%) ended in profit and 73 in a loss, for +$1,251 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 65%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $118K together, the biggest is “New pandemic in 2026?” (No) at 20% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 53% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$6,169
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
No · entry 64% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$3,057
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
No · entry 60% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$2,770
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Dec 18, 2024
+$2,756
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
No · entry 84% · closed Jun 1, 2024
+$2,410
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$2,344
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$2,317
Will Pope Francis step down before July?
No · entry 86% · closed Apr 22, 2025
+$2,103
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
No · entry 75% · closed Jan 1, 2025
+$2,007
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
No · entry 81% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$1,431
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
No Solana all time high in 2024?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Nov 22, 2024
−$7,490
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
No · entry 38% · closed Aug 11, 2025
−$7,000
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
No · entry 79% · closed Dec 5, 2024
−$6,820
Trump wins every swing state?
No · entry 83% · closed Nov 11, 2024
−$4,400
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
No · entry 56% · closed Oct 25, 2025
−$3,439
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Yes · entry 94% · closed May 2, 2026
−$2,938
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 90% · closed Mar 7, 2026
−$2,724
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Dec 11, 2025
−$2,040
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?
No · entry 95% · closed Jul 9, 2026
−$2,015
Biden drops out of presidential race?
No · entry 37% · closed Jul 27, 2024
−$2,000
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
New pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
+$2,098 P&L
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$1,390 P&L
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,833
+$312 P&L
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,054
+$120 P&L
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,778
+$264 P&L
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,597
+$460 P&L
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No · entry 89%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,231
+$268 P&L
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,871
+$611 P&L
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,827
−$17 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,730
+$70 P&L
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,670
+$5 P&L
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
No · entry 81%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,939
+$748 P&L
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,800
+$98 P&L
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 94%, now 93% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,206
−$35 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,025
−$195 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 96%
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Sold No at 94%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought No at 13%
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Bought No at 13%
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Sold No at 94%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought No at 13%
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Bought Yes at 26%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?
Sold No at 94%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought No at 96%
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 94%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Sold No at 93%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought No at 24%
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Sold No at 94%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Sold No at 94%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Sold No at 94%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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