Milktoast has made $3,376 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #35,115 all time by profit, with 453K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Sep 17, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$3,376
- All-time volume (shares)
- 453K
- Portfolio value
- $5,325
- Profit this month
- −$85
- Win rate (last 196 closed)
- 90%
How Milktoast has traded
Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 176 (90%) ended in profit and 20 in a loss, for +$2,952 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 87%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 108 of the 196 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $5,325 together, the biggest is “Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?” (No) at 51% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
No · entry 81% · closed Jul 1, 2025
+$2,602
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
No · entry 70% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$2,573
Kash Patel out by July 31?
No · entry 93% · closed Aug 1, 2026
+$1,051
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
No · entry 84% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$869
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?
No · entry 76% · closed Aug 20, 2026
+$707
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?
No · entry 88% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$503
Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?
No · entry 85% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$498
Kash Patel out by May 31?
No · entry 86% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$465
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
No · entry 87% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$357
Kash Patel out by June 30?
No · entry 93% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$339
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
No · entry 87% · closed Mar 5, 2026
−$9,213
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
No · entry 75% · closed Feb 21, 2025
−$1,536
Will JD Vance say "fire" or "fired"" during the debate?
No · entry 89% · closed Oct 2, 2024
−$1,341
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
No · entry 86% · closed Jun 13, 2025
−$1,115
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
No · entry 91% · closed Apr 24, 2025
−$367
Will Miami beat California?
Cal · entry 99% · closed Oct 6, 2024
−$61
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
No · entry 74% · closed Oct 22, 2024
−$54
Buccaneers vs. Falcons
Buccaneers · entry 96% · closed Oct 4, 2024
−$48
Will Trump say "Dark MAGA" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?
No · entry 72% · closed Oct 16, 2024
−$25
Will Donald Trump say "Trans" during his Pennsylvania rally?
No · entry 59% · closed Sep 24, 2024
−$25
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 77% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,720
−$230 P&L
Kash Patel out by December 31?
No · entry 68%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,606
+$368 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 76%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
$3
Bought No at 80%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
$255
Bought No at 80%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
$0
Bought No at 80%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
$8
Bought No at 86%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
$1,283
Bought No at 85%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
$49
Bought No at 83%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
$992
Sold No at 97%
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?
$3,317
Bought 3v Team at 97%
LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy - Game 3 Winner
$5
Bought 3v Team at 98%
LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy - Game 3 Winner
$5
Sold LYON Academy at 12%
LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy - Game 3 Winner
$16
Bought LYON Academy at 11%
LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy - Game 3 Winner
$1
Bought LYON Academy at 11%
LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy - Game 3 Winner
$1
Bought LYON Academy at 11%
LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy - Game 3 Winner
$1
Bought LYON Academy at 11%
LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy - Game 3 Winner
$1
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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