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Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Live odds

Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 78% and No at 22% for “Will Trump be impeached before his term ends” (Yes −0.5 pts in the last 24 hours).

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Chance of Yes over the last 30 days

Price of a Yes share.

Sep 26Oct 26

Yes and No odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Will Trump be impeached before his term ends” is a Polymarket market with two outcomes. Yes is priced at 78% and No at 22%; Yes is down 0.5 points over the last 24 hours and up 2.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $113K through the market so far, including $35 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 20, 2029.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 78% (decimal odds 1.28, American −355) and No at 22% (decimal odds 4.55, American +355). The price of a Yes share is the market's implied probability that this happens.
When does this market close?
The listed end date is January 20, 2029. Read the resolution rules on this page to see what counts and who decides.

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