Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Live odds
Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 5% and No at 95% for “Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026” (Yes −1.1 pts in the last 24 hours).
Market ends:
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Back your pick
Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.
Your pick
If “Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026” resolves No, $20 returns about $21.02.
- Price per share
- 95.15¢
- Implied chance
- 95%
- Shares
- 21.02
- Payout if it wins
- $21.02
- Profit if it wins
- +$1.02
- Odds
- 1.05 · −1962
If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.
Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice
Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 12:49 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.
Chance of Yes over the last 30 days
Price of a Yes share.
Yes and No odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- Yes5%5%24h −1.1 ptsOdds 20.62US +1962Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- No95%95%24h +1.1 ptsOdds 1.05US −1962Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026” is a Polymarket market with two outcomes. Yes is priced at 5% and No at 95%; Yes is down 1.1 points over the last 24 hours and up 1.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $99K through the market so far, including $0 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
0x8931…a90c bought No at 96%
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
bullishkirby2 bought No at 95%
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
Anjun bought No at 92%
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
Anjun bought No at 88%
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok AI officially defeats T1 in any exhibition/competitive match of League of Legends played in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no match takes place between T1 and Grok AI or no winner can be determined for any reason by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from T1, X, Riot Games (if involved); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 5% (decimal odds 20.62, American +1962) and No at 95% (decimal odds 1.05, American −1962). The price of a Yes share is the market's implied probability that this happens.
- When does this market close?
- The listed end date is January 1, 2027. Read the resolution rules on this page to see what counts and who decides.
