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Toronto Mayoral Election Winner odds

Polymarket traders make Olivia Chow the favorite for “Toronto Mayoral Election Winner” at 75% (+12 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Brad Bradford at 24%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 25
Olivia ChowBrad BradfordAna BailãoMichael Ford

All 8 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Toronto Mayoral Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 8 open outcomes. Olivia Chow leads at 75%, ahead of Brad Bradford at 24%. Olivia Chow is up 12 points over the last 24 hours and down 1.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $713K through the event so far, including $18K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on October 27, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Toronto Mayoral Election Winner?
Olivia Chow is the favorite at 75%, followed by Brad Bradford at 24% and Ana Bailão at <0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Polymarket traders give Olivia Chow a 75% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.34 (American −292): $1 staked on Olivia Chow returns about $1.34 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 12 points.

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