
The-Joker has made $120K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,642 all time by profit, with 9.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$120K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 9.6M
- Portfolio value
- $130K
- Profit this month
- −$21K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 55%
How The-Joker has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 110 (55%) ended in profit and 90 in a loss, for +$2,640 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 57%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 126 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $100K together, the biggest is “Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?” (Yes) at 13% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Titans vs. Colts
Titans · entry 28% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$14K

Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Aug 4, 2026
+$11K

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$11K

Saints vs. Giants
Saints · entry 52% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$9,650

Spread: Patriots (-7.5)
Jets · entry 54% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$9,200

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
Up · entry 35% · closed Oct 8, 2026
+$9,032

US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 0.3% · closed Apr 9, 2026
+$8,644

Spread: Utah (-6.5)
Utah · entry 52% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$8,496

Cardinals vs. Rams
Cardinals · entry 18% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$8,156

Capitals vs. Hurricanes
Hurricanes · entry 60% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$8,063
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 47.5
Under · entry 57% · closed Sep 22, 2026
−$27K

Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Team Vitality · entry 45% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$20K

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 72% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$14K

Bengals vs. Texans
Texans · entry 58% · closed Sep 22, 2026
−$12K

US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$8,755

Bills vs. Rams: O/U 54.5
Under · entry 61% · closed Oct 15, 2026
−$7,881

USC vs. Penn State
Penn State · entry 51% · closed Oct 13, 2026
−$7,571

Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 54.5
Under · entry 51% · closed Oct 15, 2026
−$7,105

Panthers vs. Hurricanes
Hurricanes · entry 55% · closed Oct 2, 2026
−$6,231

Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
G2 Esports · entry 44% · closed Oct 13, 2026
−$5,878
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes · entry 58%, now 66% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$1,600 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 61%, now 94% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$4,059 P&L

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 65%, now 84% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$2,648 P&L

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 86%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,350
+$750 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 64%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,851
+$203 P&L

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No · entry 74%, now 84% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,173
+$926 P&L

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes · entry 41%, now 36% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,782
−$1,244 P&L

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Yes · entry 70%, now 78% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,610
+$522 P&L

Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?
Yes · entry 87%, now 98% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,127
+$456 P&L

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 91%, now 92% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,794
+$43 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 87%, now 86% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,717
−$43 P&L

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No · entry 78%, now 82% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$3,270
+$150 P&L

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?
No · entry 80%, now >99% · ended Oct 22, 2026
$3,104
+$623 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 70%, now 62% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,075
−$425 P&L

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 30%, now 53% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$2,459
+$1,072 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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