pieped has made $3,360 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #35,189 all time by profit, with 1.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$3,360
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.6M
- Portfolio value
- $84K
- Profit this month
- +$11K
- Win rate (last 165 closed)
- 61%
How pieped has traded
Across all 165 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 100 (61%) ended in profit and 65 in a loss, for +$9,581 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 57%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $59K together, the biggest is “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (No) at 19% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Oct 17, 2026
+$8,181
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 41% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$1,747
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$1,563
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$1,284
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 20% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$1,195
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 57% · closed Sep 26, 2026
+$1,122
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$1,059
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
No · entry 47% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$1,021
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?
No · entry 12% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$877
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 71% · closed Oct 4, 2026
+$702
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
No · entry 73% · closed Oct 17, 2026
−$6,646
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$2,311
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
No · entry 68% · closed Oct 20, 2026
−$1,357
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$1,109
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Oct 21, 2026
−$750
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$702
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
No · entry 78% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$692
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Sep 18, 2026
−$680
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$670
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
No · entry 78% · closed Sep 8, 2026
−$652
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 87%, now 94% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$782 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 86%, now 94% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,723
+$747 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
No · entry 82%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,678
−$10 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 55%, now 67% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,058
+$1,073 P&L
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
No · entry 33%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,798
+$3,214 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Yes · entry 89%, now 97% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,916
+$246 P&L
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No · entry 73%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,684
+$85 P&L
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 71%, now 71% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,237
+$6 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 21%, now 21% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,105
−$51 P&L
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 96% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,096
+$90 P&L
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 72%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,075
+$70 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Yes · entry 62%, now 68% · ends Jan 28, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,040
+$180 P&L
Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?
No · entry 89%, now 98% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,922
+$175 P&L
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes · entry 68%, now 69% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,787
+$14 P&L
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?
No · entry 65%, now 75% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,764
+$252 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 91%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Talarico at 95%
Texas Senate favorite on November 2?
Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold No at 41%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold No at 91%
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?
Sold No at 91%
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?
Bought No at 86%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 66%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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