
pup1 has made $330K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #619 all time by profit, with 61M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$330K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 61M
- Portfolio value
- $154K
- Profit this month
- +$123K
- Win rate (last 196 closed)
- 47%
How pup1 has traded
Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 93 (47%) ended in profit and 103 in a loss, for +$15K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 40%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $150K together, the biggest is “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” (No) at 24% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$151K

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
No · entry 65% · closed May 9, 2026
+$89K

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$75K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$54K

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$32K

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
Over · entry 25% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$31K

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Norway · entry 28% · closed Jul 5, 2026
+$30K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Sep 20, 2026
+$28K

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Jun 20, 2026
+$23K

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Paraguay · entry 16% · closed Jun 29, 2026
+$21K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
No · entry 35% · closed May 9, 2026
−$88K

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?
No · entry 34% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$39K

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Jun 20, 2026
−$34K

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 81% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$27K

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
No · entry 66% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$20K

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Jun 26, 2026
−$20K

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Jun 25, 2026
−$20K

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Jun 22, 2026
−$18K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 30, 2026
−$16K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$16K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 71%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$36K
+$738 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 63%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$31K
−$190 P&L

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 69%, now 69% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$31K
−$272 P&L

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 72%, now 72% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
−$128 P&L

Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Mbappé · entry 71%, now 70% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
−$138 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 89%, now 94% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,395
+$521 P&L

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 15%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,700
−$275 P&L

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No · entry 62%, now 68% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,067
+$165 P&L

Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
Yes · entry 33%, now 38% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,875
+$247 P&L

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Yes · entry 17%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2029
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,750
+$50 P&L

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 13%, now 14% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,350
+$0 P&L

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes · entry 23%, now 12% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,150
−$1,125 P&L

Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?
Yes · entry 17%, now 11% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,050
−$690 P&L

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 10%, now 10% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$950
−$50 P&L

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Yes · entry 27%, now 17% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$825
−$502 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 91%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 90%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 90%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 90%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 90%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 90%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 90%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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